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#1
04-18-2007, 11:06 PM
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50 NL AA raised on flop
Villian is 33.57/22.86/1.88 over 140 hands
3 bet on the flop here? What line do you take here? PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) MP ($120.70) Hero ($50) Button ($10.15) SB ($19.75) BB ($168.90) UTG ($50.55) Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $1.50. Flop: ($4.25) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.25</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $13</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ??? 
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#3
04-18-2007, 11:25 PM
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Re: 50 NL AA raised on flop
Let me explain myself. There are times to lay down overpairs. Here are the main things I consider:
1. How good is my overpair? I.e. could I get beat not only by a set, but by aces or kings, etc.? 2. Could villain have a flush draw? strt draw? 3. Is the pot HU or multi-way? All of these things are going your way. You can't fold overpairs to every raise. This looks like a good one to get it in. Also, villain has >300 BBs so he could be bullying.
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#5
04-18-2007, 11:31 PM
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Re: 50 NL AA raised on flop
i'm not folding here b/c i don't believe he cr'ed this board w/a set.
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#6
04-18-2007, 11:36 PM
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Re: 50 NL AA raised on flop
So you guys think a draw is a good part of his range after he check-raises me on the flop? Besides 98d I can't think of any draw that really makes at least some sense for him to do this with.
I was really thinking JJ,QQ,set, with a small liklihood of some sort of drawing hand.
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#7
04-18-2007, 11:39 PM
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Re: 50 NL AA raised on flop
This guy plays 1/3 of his hands he could def have a draw here. Also, he could have QQ/JJ, but its likely that he RRs these pf with a 22% pfr, obv I cant say though for sure though. I get it in now to charge a draw and so that a scare card doesnt hit on the turn and kill our action.
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#8
04-18-2007, 11:43 PM
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Re: 50 NL AA raised on flop
[ QUOTE ]
So you guys think a draw is a good part of his range after he check-raises me on the flop? Besides 98d I can't think of any draw that really makes at least some sense for him to do this with. I was really thinking JJ,QQ,set, with a small liklihood of some sort of drawing hand. [/ QUOTE ] It's not only that he could have a draw. You are representing a draw as well.
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