SNG Bubble Situation

[d2themfi]

Is this a bad push by me? I have been running the hand through poker stove and ICM calculators and feel it is a very marginal push given the situation. But I would like the advice of some sng and ICM experts, thank you.

FullTiltPoker Game #2196180477: $30 + $3 Sit & Go (16533315), Table 1 - 60/120 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:49:55 ET - 2007/04/12
Seat 5: basherman (4,195)
Seat 7: chkidd (6,050)
Seat 8: D2THEMFI (2,205)
Seat 9: bigredpkr (1,050)
chkidd posts the small blind of 60
D2THEMFI posts the big blind of 120
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to D2THEMFI [Ac Qs]
bigredpkr folds
basherman folds
chkidd raises to 360
D2THEMFI raises to 2,205, and is all in
chkidd calls 1,845
D2THEMFI shows [Ac Qs]
chkidd shows [2d Ah]
*** FLOP *** [Jd 7d 4h]
chkidd: nh
*** TURN *** [Jd 7d 4h] [2h]
*** RIVER *** [Jd 7d 4h 2h] [Td]
D2THEMFI shows Ace Queen high
chkidd shows a pair of Twos
chkidd wins the pot (4,410) with a pair of Twos
chkidd: gg
D2THEMFI stands up
The blinds are now 80/160
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4,410 | Rake 0
Board: [Jd 7d 4h 2h Td]
Seat 5: basherman (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: chkidd (small blind) showed [2d Ah] and won (4,410) with a pair of Twos
Seat 8: D2THEMFI (big blind) showed [Ac Qs] and lost with Ace Queen high
Seat 9: bigredpkr didn't bet (folded)

[disk189]

Converted it for you.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t60/t120
4 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to t360</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in t2205</font>, SB calls t1845 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t2505)</font>.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (t4410, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t4410)


Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (t4410, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t4410)


River: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (t4410, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t4410)


Results:
Final pot: t4410

[Collin Moshman]

Hi D2,

It would help a lot of we knew something about Villain. Is he passive and usually limping/folding? Is this a standard blind-stealing raise from him? Is he the type who will call an all-in with a very wide range when huge-stacked?

Assuming the answers to these questions are mostly favorable, then pushing with your strong hand is the best play you can make because you are way ahead of his initial raising range, the pot is a reasonable fraction of your stack size, and you minimize your chances of gambling against a marginally inferior hand (such as K Ts) or low pocket pair on the bubble. And you are certainly looking
to avoid such gambles during bubble play unless you are on the verge of getting blinded out and need to force a play.

BTW, if you use a hand converter (see the FAQ), your hand will be much more visible and you will tend to get more replies. Just some friendly advice.

Best Regards,
Collin

[Rick Diesel]

Stop being results oriented.

[deepextragully]

I think the stack sizes make this very marginal, probably a push though. Also reads are important here, not only on the villain in this hand but the shortstack to your left, will you able to shove on him with little resistance later or will he be calling fairly wide?

[Nikoms]

[ QUOTE ]
Stop being results oriented.

[/ QUOTE ]
2nd. If you could see his cards pf, you'd shove your stack so fast, he wouldn't have time to say "dominated". You played it right, he got luck - that's poker.

[johnnyrocket]

[ QUOTE ]
Stop being results oriented.

[/ QUOTE ]

I COMPLETELY AGREE, this is an easy push, we cant fold AQ and expect to do well in these late stages, you got it in perfect, u need to not look at the final result but what spot u put urself in. u were way ahead so u should be happy

[Kibby]

nh, if you ever don't do this you're doing something wrong.

[d2themfi]

I am not being results oriented. Idk how many of you are familar with ICM but if you run it through pokerstove and an icm calculator it is extremely close.

However i am not disputing those of you who said I must push this, i am simply trying to spark intelligent debate. I myself am still not sure and am going to continue studying this situation

Thank you for all replies, and hope more are coming