50 USD - Metagame vs. a regular?

[K䲰䮥n]

Villain is a regular. I've played almost 2k hands with him. his stats are:

28/16 (vpip/PFR)
7/2/3 (flop/turn/river aggression)
Steals blinds on 39%.

At this time he was on 7 of my 9 tables. During the last few minutes I had 3bet 6 times from the blinds vs. his steals. At first he was folding but then started calling. He had lost all the pots to my cbets. On the flop I felt raise coming with air from him. Dunno.

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $106.84
UTG+1: $30.90
CO: $98.75
Button: $14.50
SB: $56
Hero: $50

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $2</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $6.5</font>, CO calls.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks.

Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8</font>, CO calls.

River: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players[/i])
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $17</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises all-in $98.25</font>, Hero?

[munkey]

surely easy fold - you beat j9-, aq/ak UI - looks like jt/set slowplayer if he perceives u as aggresive.

if you've 3bet him several times and hes getting annoyed now switch to premiums then switch back then confuse him some more.

[mAkCQRE]

pot is like 63$ and you have to call 18.50$, with your history i think you are good often enough to make this a +EV call

he might do this with air

what do i know though :/

[Gelford]

Grunch


Takes his sorry ass to valuetown