AA - River check vs flush probability

[eiseC]

PokerStars 5 NL Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> HandRecorder

Stacks &amp; Stats
BU ($4.81)
SB ($4.60)
BB ($6.92)
CO ($5.81)
MP ($10.10)
Hero ($7.97)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
<font color="#FF0000">Hero raises to $0.20</font>, MP calls $0.20, CO calls $0.20, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, SB calls $0.18, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>.

Flop: ($0.85) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#FF0000">Hero bets $0.70</font>, MP calls $0.70, CO folds, SB folds.

Turn: ($2.25) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#FF0000">Hero bets $1.50</font>, MP calls $1.50.

River: ($5.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP checks.

Final Pot: $5.25.

I think, either he is slowplaying a Set, KQ, KJ, or a flush here.

[danny8]

when you lead every street, a dont tend to worry about BD FD's getting there.

your hand is definitely good here the majority of the time. The question is, check and let him bluff a busted [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] draw. Or value bet and get value from Kx.

I think he has a King here more often than a FD so i'd just bet out again $~2.5-3

[CesareBorgia]

At what point did you make that read? I ask you this, because it makes no sense making this read after the check-check on the river.

[Phytopath]

Bet river, you may be beat but it certainly isn't to a BD flush.

If he was slowplaying you would have heard about it on the turn most likely.