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  #1  
Old 04-10-2007, 05:03 PM
MrFeelNothin MrFeelNothin is offline
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Default Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

only can bet $160 to win $100, but....

Bodog prop on Sidney Crosby's first playoff point: goal or assist?
goal +120
assist -160

Sidney had 36 goals and 84 assists this year, so all else being equal it would seem the probability of his first point being an assist would be 70%.

Over his two-year career he has 75 goals and 147 assists. (assists went up this year partly because of better linemates.)


free $20 in EV.
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  #2  
Old 04-10-2007, 09:43 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

I'm on it.
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  #3  
Old 04-10-2007, 10:25 PM
MrFeelNothin MrFeelNothin is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

Cool, glad someone is!


I also bet that he would not score a goal in his first playoff game at -160 though that bet is not quite as good.

He scored in 36.7% of his games this year, indicating a -172 line would be fair. Additionally, scoring in the playoffs is always lower and Ottawa is a much better than average defensive team.
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  #4  
Old 04-10-2007, 10:40 PM
1C5 1C5 is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

good bet, I would take it if I had money on Bodog.
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  #5  
Old 04-10-2007, 11:49 PM
whitepotatoe whitepotatoe is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

Im in for a unit on each. Thanks
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  #6  
Old 04-11-2007, 10:00 PM
rush66 rush66 is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

Damn it.
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  #7  
Old 04-11-2007, 10:04 PM
milenky milenky is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

I was sweating this for you guys (in between the mariners game of course) , I didn't realize they'd be showing the pittsburgh game on vs, or whatever the hell it's called, or I woulda probably followed suit.
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  #8  
Old 04-12-2007, 12:18 AM
MrFeelNothin MrFeelNothin is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

Sorry guys, thought we had the no-goal bet, oh well.
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  #9  
Old 04-12-2007, 03:41 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Bodog hockey prop- Crosby\'s first playoff point(max $100)

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry guys, thought we had the no-goal bet, oh well.

[/ QUOTE ]

Great idea, crushed by the NExt one. sigh.
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