limped pot top 2 50NL

[the machine]

from datamined hands villain is 55/2/1.4 yes PFR 2 over 600 hands. flop is standard but id like to hear debate about the turn if any. my reasoning was if he has a lone Q then this turn is going to make him fold a worse hand so c/c is the option i went with. as for the river i decided to bet and call a raise but possibly fold to a push. not sure though.


Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$0.25/$0.50 Blinds
6 Players
LegoPoker HH Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
SB: $47.75
<font color="black">Hero (BB): $50</font>
UTG: $50
MP: $21.60
CO: $30.95
BTN: $35.15

UTG posts $0.50
<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($0.75, 6 Players)
UTG checks, MP folds, CO folds, BTN folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero checks

<font color="black">Flop:</font> Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($1.75, 3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, UTG calls $1.50, SB folds

<font color="black">Turn:</font> K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($4.75, 2 Players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2

<font color="black">River:</font> 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($8.75, 2 Players)
Hero bets $5, UTG raises to $10, Hero calls $5

Pot Size: $28.75 ($1.40 Rake)

[whoisthedrizzle]

I don't like giving the free card on the turn since he could easily have a draw, but I like your river bet since he probably calls with some worse hands that he might otherwise check behind. His min raise is annoying since he probably has a better two pair or something of that sort, but I'd still call since the pot is pretty big at this point.

[allaboutmyfetti]

I see your reasoning for the turn check, but I don't think a 55/2/1.4 is necessarily going to dump Q on the turn that often ... a w2sd value would help but those are pretty donkish stats. Put another way, if I knew villian had a Q, there's no way in hell I would 2nd-barrel that turn on a bluff b/c I always expect a 55/2/1.4 to almost always call.

I prefer betting the turn since you still get value from flush draws / overcard (A high) draws and I don't think we lose that much value from a lone Q.

The river seems fine

[Isura]

Nobody folds a Q to a turn bet, LOL. Especially when they play a 55/2 game. I would bet turn, close to pot and milk this donkey. Or when he bets, c/r him and build the pot. I really hate the way you played this. WHy did you bet the river? Every draw missed, and your river action is contradictory to your reasoning for not betting the turn!

[BBQSquirrel]

Fire turn and check-call river