Your Odds Regarding Captured English Sailors

[David Sklansky]

What's the percentage chances in your opinion that:

1. They tresspassed and England knows it

2. They tresspassed but England doesn't know it

3. They didn't tresspass but Iran thinks they did

4. They didn't tresspass and Iran realizes that

[mpethybridge]

[ QUOTE ]
What's the percentage chances in your opinion that:

1. They tresspassed and England knows it

2. They tresspassed but England doesn't know it

3. They didn't tresspass but Iran thinks they did

4. They didn't tresspass and Iran realizes that

[/ QUOTE ]

1. 0
2. 0
3. 0
4. 100

When England asked Iran to provide the GPS location of the capyure, Iran did so, supplying coordinates that placed the British in Iraqui waters. 2 days later Iran "corrected" the coordinates to move the British into Iranian waters.

[Prodigy54321]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What's the percentage chances in your opinion that:

1. They tresspassed and England knows it

2. They tresspassed but England doesn't know it

3. They didn't tresspass but Iran thinks they did

4. They didn't tresspass and Iran realizes that

[/ QUOTE ]

1. 0
2. 0
3. 0
4. 100

When England asked Iran to provide the GPS location of the capyure, Iran did so, supplying coordinates that placed the British in Iraqui waters. 2 days later Iran "corrected" the coordinates to move the British into Iranian waters.

[/ QUOTE ]

if this is true, it sounds like Iran didn't actually know where the line was.

[pete fabrizio]

[ QUOTE ]
What's the percentage chances in your opinion that:

1. They tresspassed and England knows it

2. They tresspassed but England doesn't know it

3. They didn't tresspass but Iran thinks they did

4. They didn't tresspass and Iran realizes that

[/ QUOTE ]

1. ~40%.
2. ~0%.
3. ~10%.
4. ~50%.

[Jackal69]

5. They were in disputed waters but Sklansky doesnt realise that

[tshort]

1. They tresspassed and England knows it

85%

2. They tresspassed but England doesn't know it

.001% - Accounting for human negligence. I would imagine the British Royal Navy has working GPS systems.

3. They didn't tresspass but Iran thinks they did

10%

4. They didn't tresspass and Iran realizes that

5%

[chezlaw]

[ QUOTE ]
What's the percentage chances in your opinion that:

1. They tresspassed and England knows it

2. They tresspassed but England doesn't know it

3. They didn't tresspass but Iran thinks they did

4. They didn't tresspass and Iran realizes that



[/ QUOTE ]
1. 5%

2. 30%

3. 30%

4. 95%

[goofball]

1. 30%
2. ~0%
3. 30%
4. 40%

[fraac]

20%
0%
10%
70%

[ALawPoker]

2-3
8
15
75

(Three and four are kind of complicated, because there's a fine line between truly knowing something and just wanting to believe something really bad.)