10-20nl FTP - River Top 2

[WiltOnTilt]

Villain in this hand is a 33/20 lag. He seems to be opening a lot of hands pre but not getting too crazy postflop. I'm playing TAG, 22/16 or so, made a few 2 barrels but haven't been caught in any monster bluffs. I should have a fairly standard image.

I've reraised him a time or two and taken it down with flop cbets. On another hand he c/c me on the flop and turn with bottom pair on a semi dry board (i 2 barreled a K on the turn) and I gave up on the river.

We're 200bb deep. Typically I'd reraise AQs but I didn't this time.

In this hand his line is fairly odd. He insta-potted the river, so I wasn't sure whether that indicated strength or weakness given the A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].

Full Tilt Poker
$10/$20 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
SB: $4198.5
BB: $1000
MP: $6945
CO: $2000
Hero (BTN): $3914

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($30, 5 players)
<font color="red">MP raises to $70</font>, CO folds, Hero calls $70, SB calls $60, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($230, 3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $200</font>, SB folds, MP calls $200

<font color="black">Turn:</font> J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] [5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] ($630, 2 players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $425</font>, MP calls $425

<font color="black">River:</font> J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] [A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] ($1480, 2 players)
<font color="red">MP bets $1,480</font>, Hero ???

What do you put him on here?

Thanks,
KoW

[king_of_drafts]

This is so weird because he didn't bet the flop or for that matter show ANY aggression on flop/turn on a drawy board. I call, it sort of looks like he coulda gotten there with KT or BD flush draw, but not many FDs he could have....KQhh? KJ/TJhh? Wtf, why does he not bet flop...I am just really curious what he had. AJ seems semilikely as does missed diamonds. If you mucked this and were beat you are a hero.

[RaiseAndPray]

Interesting hand. My gut is feeling a fold, but really against an opponent you don't know well...tough one. Couldn't blame a call either. Curious to see what happened...good post...

[WiltOnTilt]

no one cares about this thread, obv, but i folded.

KoW

[restrikt]

K10 hearts? 910 hearts?

Fold river....

[WiltOnTilt]

[ QUOTE ]
K10 hearts? 910 hearts?

Fold river....

[/ QUOTE ]

so you don't think a lag player cbets the flop nearly 100% of the time with both of those hands?

KoW

[Heir_Aparent]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
K10 hearts? 910 hearts?

Fold river....

[/ QUOTE ]

so you don't think a lag player cbets the flop nearly 100% of the time with both of those hands?

KoW

[/ QUOTE ]
was thinking the same thing. his line is certainly interesting/confusing. looks a lot like J10h, something he'd be mroe inclined to check than cbet. either way hes not flaoting you on flop and turn hoping for a scare to pot. he also doesnt have AK. fold seems good.

[Lyric]

JTh, KTh, KJh, 9Th, only one that really makes sense is JTh.