Truly Historic Run by Higher Seeds ...almost 30-1 against

[Mempho]

With regard to the lack of upsets by the 12-16 seeds, we are witnessing approximately a once in 30-year event here. Using the historical average from wiki:



[/ QUOTE ]Since the inception of the 64-team tournament in 1985 each seed # has played a total of 92 first-round games.

1. The #1 seed has beaten the #16 seed all 92 times (100%).
2. The #2 seed has beaten the #15 seed 88 times (96%).
3. The #3 seed has beaten the #14 seed 77 times (84%).
4. The #4 team has beaten the #13 seed 74 times (80%).
5. The #5 seed has beaten the #12 seed 63 times (68%).


[/ QUOTE ]

Here's the math:


100%
100%
100%
100%
96%
96%
96%
96%
84%
84%
84%
84%
80%
80%
80%
80%
68%
68%
68%
68%

3.703374869559490%

Just in case someone out there is mathematically-challenged, let me break it down for you: crappiest first-round in a generation.

[MyTurn2Raise]

but it will make for a better second round and sweet 16

those cinderella runs, while cool in the first round, typically ruin the second round

[Nate.]

I'm pretty sure that the decreased upsetting has something to do with the overall decline in quality of play. Compare with the general favorite-dominance in the women's bracket, etc.

--Nate

[FlyWf]

Other way around, actually. By forcing everyone to go to college the NBA has given big schools a talent infusion. Creighton wasn't losing a lot of commits to the pros, but UNC and OSU would be a fair bit worse if the NBA still drafted 18 year olds.

[SL__72]

Its ok though because Duke lost and that was awesome.

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm pretty sure that the decreased upsetting has something to do with the overall decline in quality of play. Compare with the general favorite-dominance in the women's bracket, etc.

--Nate

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah a top3seed has lost 1time in the last 145opening round games lol

[Ken_AA]

[ QUOTE ]
Other way around, actually. By forcing everyone to go to college the NBA has given big schools a talent infusion. Creighton wasn't losing a lot of commits to the pros, but UNC and OSU would be a fair bit worse if the NBA still drafted 18 year olds.

[/ QUOTE ]


This is the correct answer. This rule is going to crush mid major college basketball.

Ken

[Austiger]

Worse:
2000

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
Worse:
2000

[/ QUOTE ]

wow just 2 #10's

but it made up for it with the second round, and 2 #8s in the Final Four

[bottomset]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Other way around, actually. By forcing everyone to go to college the NBA has given big schools a talent infusion. Creighton wasn't losing a lot of commits to the pros, but UNC and OSU would be a fair bit worse if the NBA still drafted 18 year olds.

[/ QUOTE ]


This is the correct answer. This rule is going to crush mid major college basketball.

Ken

[/ QUOTE ]

is 10-15 players spread out between the majors, for a single season really that big of an effect?