50NL river bluff in pretty big pot

Rollos · #1 03-10-2007, 03:02 AM

I had seen villian miniraise other people about twice on dry flops like these, so I honestly felt like he had nothing when he raised me. Once he called my turn bet, I put him on either 55-88 or a weak queen like QJo and felt like a bet would take this down enough to be +EV.

My image has also been very tight, I think I was something like 8% preflop raise

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($123.25)
BB ($16.50)
UTG ($54.50)
MP ($36.05)
Hero ($49.25)
Button ($95.25)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.5, 3 folds, MP calls $2.

Flop: ($5.75) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $3.5, MP raises to $7, Hero calls $3.50.

Turn: ($19.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $10, MP calls $10.

River: ($39.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $20

So anyone like?

Sigurd · #2 03-10-2007, 03:27 AM

Without actually having some kind of read, supporting that villain is actually capable of folding I'll just give it up when raised on the flop.

deluz35 · #3 03-10-2007, 03:28 AM

I dont like the river bluff here because he's shown a willingness to call you/raise you on every street so far.

The 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] changes nothing. So if he called your turn bet, there's no reason for him to fold here (unless he's a weak player). Only run this kind of bluff on someone you have already established as a loose passive who will give up on the river. But I'd be surprised if he folded here.

It's also not inconceivable that villain hit a weak ace on the turn.