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#1
03-07-2007, 03:59 PM
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Is this a ridiculous 58o squeeze??
I am in the SB here. 57 left in a large MTT. I have about 18k with average being 24K or so. There was a late position 3x and a smooth call from the CO. Pot was about 7K before my shove. Chip stacks seemed about right to make a big move and both raiser and caller have enough chips to easily find a fold. Looked like a decent spot. Thoughts?
PokerStars Game #8785135242: Tournament #44300751, $20+$2 Hold'em No Limit - Level XI (600/1200) - 2007/03/07 - 14:47:31 (ET) Table '44300751 37' 9-max Seat #7 is the button Seat 2: aaranator (31581 in chips) Seat 3: Eqiulibrium (16027 in chips) Seat 4: CAOS501 (32294 in chips) Seat 6: anm64 (28736 in chips) Seat 7: Turkishlight (88539 in chips) Seat 8: pokerstudKK (17951 in chips) Seat 9: tanandcal (26466 in chips) aaranator: posts the ante 75 Eqiulibrium: posts the ante 75 CAOS501: posts the ante 75 anm64: posts the ante 75 Turkishlight: posts the ante 75 pokerstudKK: posts the ante 75 tanandcal: posts the ante 75 pokerstudKK: posts small blind 600 tanandcal: posts big blind 1200 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to pokerstudKK [8c 5d] aaranator: folds Eqiulibrium: folds CAOS501: raises 1200 to 2400 anm64: calls 2400 Turkishlight: folds pokerstudKK: raises 15476 to 17876 and is all-in 
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#2
03-07-2007, 04:02 PM
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Re: Is this a ridiculous 58o squeeze??
If you included reads I might have said go for it. The fold equity makes a shove with any two +cEv in this spot. Of course, that does not mean that you should be making this play every time but that you should keep your eye out for a good situation to make the play.
It is bad without reads and it would be better if CAO had 20,000-25,000 chips as the more chips he has the more likely he is to gamble with AQ/AJs. No reads. No naked squeeze.
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#3
03-07-2007, 04:31 PM
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Re: Is this a ridiculous 58o squeeze??
[ QUOTE ]
If you included reads I might have said go for it. The fold equity makes a shove with any two +cEv in this spot. Of course, that does not mean that you should be making this play every time but that you should keep your eye out for a good situation to make the play. It is bad without reads and it would be better if CAO had 20,000-25,000 chips as the more chips he has the more likely he is to gamble with AQ/AJs. No reads. No naked squeeze. [/ QUOTE ]
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#4
03-07-2007, 04:32 PM
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Re: Is this a ridiculous 58o squeeze??
[ QUOTE ]
If you included reads I might have said go for it. The fold equity makes a shove with any two +cEv in this spot. Of course, that does not mean that you should be making this play every time but that you should keep your eye out for a good situation to make the play. It is bad without reads and it would be better if CAO had 20,000-25,000 chips as the more chips he has the more likely he is to gamble with AQ/AJs. No reads. No naked squeeze. [/ QUOTE ] I agree. Unless you have specific reads on these guys (has CAO min-raised before? has he laid down to a push? has other villain cold called a raise before?) I don't like a naked squeeze here. If CAO had <25k I'd like it a lot more. As it is he can call and still have >10BB, so he's much more liable to call AQ, mid pockets (which are AWFUL for you), etc. If you had any legitimate hand, squeeze away! (By legitimate, I mean legitimate squeezing hand of course, mid SCs, broadway, etc.)
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