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  #1  
Old 03-02-2007, 07:59 PM
dipstikdave dipstikdave is offline
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Default $27 guess villain\'s cards

utg is a tag winner at the 16s/27s. all other players are unknown. after instafolding this hand i looked at his pt stats and noticed he is 20/2 in lvl 1 (15/9 overall), with a flop af of 2.5. is there any hand he could have that makes this a good play?


PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t1480)
UTG+1 (t1490)
MP1 (t1520)
MP2 (t1535)
Hero (t1500)
CO (t1495)
Button (t1470)
SB (t1480)
BB (t1530)

Preflop: Hero is in MP3 with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls t20, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">MP2 folds</font>, Hero calls t20, CO calls t20, Button calls t20, <font color="gray">SB folds</font>, BB checks

Flop: (t110) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, CO checks, <font color="red">Button bets t40</font>, <font color="gray">BB folds</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to t1460 (All-in)</font>, <font color="gray">Hero folds</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>
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  #2  
Old 03-02-2007, 08:02 PM
AMT AMT is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
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  #3  
Old 03-02-2007, 08:04 PM
ger664 ger664 is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

Question is silly this is a fold.
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  #4  
Old 03-02-2007, 08:31 PM
AMT AMT is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

[ QUOTE ]
Question is silly this is a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]


im pretty sure hes asking about UTG's line, not his own.
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  #5  
Old 03-02-2007, 08:41 PM
ger664 ger664 is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Question is silly this is a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]


im pretty sure hes asking about UTG's line, not his own.

[/ QUOTE ]

To many green bottles causes me to be an Ass. I think he is drawing with a pair.
he is not limping TT+ preflop. TAGs do not shove 99- on this flop. QJo or QsJs is a made str8 he wants customers. AQ/AJ is my guess.
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  #6  
Old 03-02-2007, 08:51 PM
xPeru xPeru is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

You ask 2 questions: I guess he limped AA.

Limp UTG, c/rai this flop, are there any cards that make this a good play? IMHO no. There are no cards that he should have limped which merit the shove. QJs/o are a UTG fold. TT,KK, AA is a raise. AQ is a limp, but a risky crai.
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  #7  
Old 03-02-2007, 09:39 PM
Beerocrat Beerocrat is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

Shoving t1500 over t150 seems to want to end it there. I don't think most would do that 5 handed without something to back it up- straight, 2pr, or set? Seems like a skeeered move, not the nuts.

You did say his stats indicate he plays more loose at level one. Maybe ATs,KQs if he is playing loose. I don't play that crap in this situation, but you said he is considerably more loose at level one. I don't think limping TT UTG 9 handed at level one is out of the question either.

IMnoobO, I don't think it is a good move.
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  #8  
Old 03-02-2007, 09:42 PM
SlackerMcFly SlackerMcFly is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

If he is TAG like you say at this level and given his stats, I'd say TT.

Not that I like the play, but that's my guess.
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  #9  
Old 03-02-2007, 11:35 PM
ryanghall ryanghall is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

My first thoughts are TT or K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

I'd be pretty surprised to see anything else.
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  #10  
Old 03-03-2007, 12:22 AM
fluorescenthippo fluorescenthippo is offline
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Default Re: $27 guess villain\'s cards

AA, KK, KQspades, TT


edit:but the OP makes me want to guess something like T8o
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