200NL - Raised on river... what to do?

[moldman]

Villian was 28/10/1 over 50 hands. Only other time he got to showdown, he had AA (and lost).

Full Tilt Poker
$1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
9 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
MP3: $185.50
CO: $228.15
BTN: $211.45
SB: $243.9
Hero (BB): $206.4
UTG: $377.85
UTG+1: $186.75
MP1: $199
MP2: $204.65

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($3, 9 players)
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, MP3 folds, CO folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7</font>, SB folds, Hero calls $5

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($15, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] [T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] ($15, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $10</font>, Hero calls $10

<font color="black">River:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] [3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]] ($35, 2 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $11</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $42</font>, Hero?

[futuredoc85]

call because you made such a horribly weak bet on the river and you havent shown any strength whatsoever

[Mr_Donktastic]

Hmmm....my first thought was just call but is JJ+ really in his range here? Who on earth would check that flop with JJ+???

Edit: I'm assuming you were debating calling or raising. Folding would be grounds for exile from the FR forum.

[moldman]

[ QUOTE ]
Hmmm....my first thought was just call but is JJ+ really in his range here? Who on earth would check that flop with JJ+???

Edit: I'm assuming you were debating calling or raising. Folding would be grounds for exile from the FR forum.

[/ QUOTE ]

Your quote is correct. No way am I folding, but was wondering if there's any value to raising here.

[GiantBuddha]

AA would check that flop more often than JJ, I think. He could have A3 or 66, but a fold here is pretty retarted. 50 hands isn't much of a sample so I wouldn't put too much stock in that.

As far as raising goes, what worse hands is he calling with? Any pair (boat)? This is one of the few times I'd put a lot of stock in a timing tell. If he tanked then raised, I'd really wanna fold but probably wouldn't.

[Bianculli]

I don't see anyway possible raising here could be correct. I would have cc the river. Not making a c-bet on that flop is very suspicious.

BTW -- is that an automatic defense of your blind with q-10 suited in this spot? Is this a +EV play against a fairly passive postflop button?

[UncleKraut]

Fold preflop. (not a joke)

[Albert Moulton]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold preflop. (not a joke)

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. QTs OOP heads up in a raise pot = spew.

Just give up the bb and move on.

[GiantBuddha]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

I confess that was my first thought, too. Is that too nitty? QT just don't play that well OOP HU vs. pfr, even an aggressive one.

[GiantBuddha]

FPF said, if you're gonna play, it's very important to get maximum value out of it. It might make you a better player in the long run.