Nl200 AA preflop overthinking ?

[jetsetboy]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)



SB ($198)
Hero ($263.85)
UTG ($209)
MP ($270.45)
Button ($199.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB (poster) raises to $13</font>, Hero calls $261.85 (All-In)

MP seems to be horrible 27/10/1 over 65 hands, his standard preflop raise his a minraise and he seems quite weak preflop.

SB seems better 15/15/9 over 33 hands if that means something.

Table image: I have 3bet thrice I think, and never went to a showdown except for a BHU against SB. I think I was running at something like 25/20. Even if they have datamined they shouldn't have any data on me as that was the first time I play 6-max on PP.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($199.70)
Hero ($219.45)
UTG ($209)
MP ($191.30)
CO ($286)
Button ($197.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB (poster) raises to $6</font>, Hero calls $5.

Flop: ($14) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $9</font>, Hero calls $9.

Turn: ($32) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $20</font>, Hero calls $20.

River: ($72) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: $72

I had a kind of time tell and I feel like he either have AQ+ or AIR on this hand.

The AA hand : I wanted to take advantage of this showdown and I wanted to take advantage of the few 3bets I have made before that (something like 3 in 33 hands). At first I thought about raising to 50ish preflop but I feel like a push would look much more like AK than AA and that I can get called by one of them with any pp. Overthinking ?

[orange]

1 fine
2 fine...though i usually 3-bet or fold pf.

[MasterLJ]

1. Awesome - you need to be shoving AA here sometimes if you also shove AK pre as well.

2. Good - Raising that weak turn lead is also a good option.

[SABR42]

Hand 1: I don't like it. You are over 200BB deep. No one calls that much without KK+. If you had 100BB this would be fine. I'd just 4-bet to $35-40 and go from there.

EDIT: never mind, I mis-read. I'd still make it $40 though.

Hand 2: looks fine.

[mertzo]

I like it. If youre read are correct not many hands that would call 40 would fold a push.