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  #1  
Old 02-28-2007, 03:07 AM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Posts: 78
Default Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

While I still mourn the loss of Pinnacle, I was
hoping to continue arbing (of course, with the loss
of Neteller, the practice is worth much less because
I can't get deposit bonuses now). Anyway, I was
already starting to convince myself I needed to arb
naked vs. Pinnacle - in other words take any bet that
Pinn was willing to take. Certainly there has been no
instance of anything close to an arb WSEX vs Intertops.

I will post any naked arb vs Pinn in this thread. Since
we lost the Water Olay donk thread, I'll do stats with
the following system.

I am going to bet (1+N)*10 dollars per each cent in the
arb. So a 0c arb will be a $10 bet (typically I will round
to get an even dollar payout). This doesn't have any real
money management involved - my BR is such that I could
probably bet more, but that's where I am going to start just for kicks - seeing as how I don't want to think about it too hard.

Anyone with vs pinn arbs they want to post from other books, feel free.

Murph
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  #2  
Old 02-28-2007, 03:42 AM
recipro recipro is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

Your formula should probably account for big favs/big dogs. If Pinny offers -225, and you can get +230, this isn't near as good as +110 when Pinny offers -105...
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  #3  
Old 02-28-2007, 09:14 PM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

WSEX
Texas A&M +2 -110
Pinn
Texas -2 +111

WSEX Duke ML -270
Pinn Maryland ML +270

$22 on TAMU +2 -110
$27 on Duke ML -270
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  #4  
Old 02-28-2007, 10:12 PM
ImNew ImNew is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

Oh nickle system is getting popular ^^

GL
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  #5  
Old 02-28-2007, 10:15 PM
MyTurn2Raise MyTurn2Raise is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

I just like seeing the Chief more
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  #6  
Old 02-28-2007, 11:12 PM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

2nd half on Md/Duke
Bet $22 on Md/Duke over 75.5 -110 at WSEX
Pinn line - over 75 -132

I am just guessing that the .5 point is worth
more than 22 cents.
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  #7  
Old 03-01-2007, 12:16 AM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Posts: 78
Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

the 2nd half over comes in from left field, but Duke
goes down. Texas/TAMU in overtime by the grace of god.
Of course, I can't WATCH these games because BOOK CLUB
starts at 8 PM. ARGH. BAD BEAT!

Edit: Make that a 2nd overtime by the grace of god.
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  #8  
Old 03-01-2007, 12:52 AM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Posts: 78
Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

1-1-1 tonight. I'll take that with a miracle over
and a double miracle push. Can't believe I didn't
get to see the end of texas/tamu due to getting kicked
out of the TV room. Was like the bad old days when i was
at a startup and would work late and be clicking the tickers
for my scores.

Record 1-1-1
Winnings -7

Luckily at the end of regulation and OT i put $ on
Texas on the live betting based on the TAMU foul situation at near PK. Live betting rules.
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  #9  
Old 03-03-2007, 11:00 PM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

Fresno +3.5 +105 2nd half at WSEX
USU -3 -108 at Pinn

$20 to win $21 at WSEX - not a "true arb" but surely +EV

Marquette/Pitt under 72.5 -110 at WSEX
Over +111 at Pinn
$22 to win $20 at WSEX
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  #10  
Old 03-03-2007, 11:08 PM
murphstahoe murphstahoe is offline
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Default Re: Naked Arbs vs Pinny thread

Heh I just noticed the thread indicating this thread is not unique - lol. I suck
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