Turn spot with big draw

Isura · #1 02-23-2007, 03:44 AM

Villain is a regular, one of the better regs in the game. No real history between us, mostly we stay out of each others way. He does call reraises with a fairly wide range I think (ie not just pairs and AK). Is the turn bet good? I figure that if I check and he bets, I'm in big trouble or he has nothing, probably in trouble though. But he will probably check a hand like TT or maybe even Qx and give me a free card. Is the bet size good?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($1288)
Hero ($1947.90)
BB ($1855.05)
UTG ($1000)
MP ($995)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero posts a blind of $5.
2 folds, Button raises to $35, Hero (poster) raises to $120, 1 fold, Button calls $90.

Flop: ($260) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $175, Button calls $175.

Turn: ($610) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $444

psyduck · #2 02-23-2007, 03:50 AM

I like your play because he will fold a lot of hands, sometimes even top pair.

If he calls here what are your plans on an A or K river? Spade? Ten? What about another Q or J? What about a total blank?

Petteri · #3 02-23-2007, 03:50 AM

I like it. At turn you have big draw and should fire second barrel.

Turn bet size is good. 73 % of the pot marks you to made hand with possible ace or king of spades redraw. You pretty much represent AA, KK or AQ with spade redraw or QQ/JJ.

If villain does not have monster, he will release. I do not think he will call with TPGK and he is in very tough spot with AA or KK.

If he calls you have outs.

SNO FLAKE · #4 02-23-2007, 03:51 AM

i probably c/f on turn... your draw is marginal at best the guy has AT LEAST a flush here

carnivalhobo · #5 02-23-2007, 03:59 AM

[ QUOTE ]
i probably c/f on turn... your draw is marginal at best the guy has AT LEAST a flush here

[/ QUOTE ]

dude, you need to stop posting and start reading, you have posted some really terrible advice in the last hour

SNO FLAKE · #6 02-23-2007, 04:02 AM

dude just cause you guys disagree with some of my reasonings you talk so much [censored]. it amazes me. in the other thread too people were talking [censored] when i said to push with the aa then there ended up being others who agreed with the push... Just cause you disagree doesn't mean its wrong... people are really condesending on this forum.. i don't ''see why''

carnivalhobo · #7 02-23-2007, 04:04 AM

[ QUOTE ]
dude just cause you guys disagree with some of my reasonings you talk so much [censored]. it amazes me. in the other thread too people were talking [censored] when i said to push with the aa then there ended up being others who agreed with the push... Just cause you disagree doesn't mean its wrong... people are really condesending on this forum.. i don't ''see why''

[/ QUOTE ]

calling the nut draw marginal is insane, saying villains range is 100% a flush after the action is even dumber. What stakes do you play?

SNO FLAKE · #8 02-23-2007, 04:05 AM

lots of different stakes.. ussualy 5/10nl or 10/20 if i'm at the bike otherwise i play tournaments online

LegallyBlind · #9 02-23-2007, 04:13 AM

i like the play...but i think you might want to bet a little more on the turn just so your decision if he pushes is easy and you maybe (probably not though) have a little more FE. I didn't do the math though, so it might be an easy call if he pushes your $444 bet. I just wouldn't want to leave myself in a wierd situation if i got shoved on, id want an easy call or fold

Cumulonimbus · #10 02-23-2007, 04:26 AM

[ QUOTE ]
the guy has AT LEAST a flush here

[/ QUOTE ]

bwahahaahahahahahhahahahahhahhhahaahhhahhaahha. so he can't have Queens, a lone King of spades, JJ or TT with a spade, or a set? are you a gimmick account? cuz if so, nice work.