50NL AJ inBB

DrRock · #1 02-17-2007, 11:09 AM

No reads, besides that villain is short stacked

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($53.30)
UTG ($48.85)
MP ($55.40)
CO ($15)
Button ($31.15)
SB ($60.55)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $0.50.
UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, CO (poster) checks, 2 folds, Hero checks.

Flop: ($1.75) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets $1.5, UTG folds, CO calls $1.50.

Turn: ($4.75) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $3.5, CO raises to $7

I was kind of 50/50 here between pushing and folding.

corsakh · #2 02-17-2007, 11:13 AM

Fold. He can have anything.

DrRock · #3 02-17-2007, 11:14 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Fold. He can have anything.

[/ QUOTE ]

There is no way I am ahead of his "anything" range?

corsakh · #4 02-17-2007, 11:17 AM

Only if its a backdoor flushdraw. But I would not count on this much. I mean seiously, he may have 24o here for what I know.

DrRock · #5 02-17-2007, 11:19 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Only if its a backdoor flushdraw. But I would not count on this much. I mean seiously, he may have 24o here for what I know.

[/ QUOTE ]

he might have K7 for what we know

corsakh · #6 02-17-2007, 11:24 AM

You bet pot into two people, no HU. He probably can beat an ace.

DrRock · #7 02-17-2007, 11:41 AM

[ QUOTE ]
You bet pot into two people, no HU. He probably can beat an ace.

[/ QUOTE ]

Id hope so. I think we are getting about 3 to 2 odds to call. I felt and still feel its about 60% he has me beat 40% I am ahead. So, In my mind its a wash. Unless my math is off...which is completely possible

corsakh · #8 02-17-2007, 11:46 AM

I'm pretty sure you are behind here at least 80% of the time. You get 1 to 4.5. And you have say 4 clean outs at best, however there is a good chance you are drawing dead. You need huge implied odds to make this call. CO has 6 behind. Does not cut it. Notice how he makes a min raise instead of s shove. He wants you to call with an ace.

DrRock · #9 02-17-2007, 11:53 AM

how do you figure 1 to 4.5? By my English Major math I figure that if I push he is def calling so I would have to put in 13 to win 21.25. so thats like 2 to win 3...no? Your 80% figure may very well be correct...

I_HATE_TIHSKID · #10 02-17-2007, 11:55 AM

I raise preflop almost always, ~3 should do it.

1) You have an UTG-limper + a poster, chances are you will take it down preflop.

2) If you don't take it down preflop with your raise, you might get it heads up and a con. bet will do the trick.

I always like to play pots aggressive if no other people have showed strenght.

As played I push turn. He probaly has an A, but could be any. Maybe 2 pair. But he is short, so i fancy our chances.

OT: what are your nick? i am playing alot 50NL these days, it's very likely we have played some hands together.