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  #1  
Old 02-15-2007, 07:16 PM
ImNew ImNew is offline
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Default The guys I follow.. Who are they?

Right now pinny just moved the line of Manhattan from +10 to +9, so I bet on SIA +10. This part is easy. No handicapping, I don't even care who is playing.

My question is, how do the guys that first move the line know that there is value in Manhattan +10?
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  #2  
Old 02-15-2007, 07:25 PM
BooNaNy BooNaNy is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

Some say Marist is gonna blow out Manhattan. I wonder why the line moved the other way. Hmmmm...
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  #3  
Old 02-15-2007, 08:04 PM
ImNew ImNew is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

Since I'm actually betting them, I'll start keeping a record on non pinny arb lines (base amount = $200, if no odds was indicated I'm betting them at -110):

4 u6 +100
5 u6 +105
42 u43
11 1st P -140
504 83.35/28.45 -293
502 u91.5
510 -2
514 12
517 -140
520 -6.5
523 o129.5
525 9
534 u117.5
536 -2.5
539 10

I'm up 14.2058 units so far this month, but for record sake.. 0-0 YTD
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  #4  
Old 02-15-2007, 08:06 PM
TheRover TheRover is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

curious if you've kept separate records for each sport and your record on games, say, ~1 hour before the first games in that sport go OTB or 1 hr. before that specific game.
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  #5  
Old 02-15-2007, 08:41 PM
ImNew ImNew is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

Not sure what your last sentence meant. I keep all records in a single spreadsheet. I mark different sports with different colours but I don't have a separate YTD for each sport.

Currently I'm running extremely well at NHL, reasonably well at NCAAB (where I bet most) and losing at NBA.

I am particularly weak on half time bets. (-8.5 units)

And oh, I follow unranked system bets introduced by NoChance (hence Purdue -2.5, which dropped to -1.5 before game time).

*Since the line is getting worse for me, I'm betting 501 o91.5 +105 and 517 +131 for half unit
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  #6  
Old 02-15-2007, 09:19 PM
TheRover TheRover is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

[ QUOTE ]
curious if you've kept separate records for each sport and your record on line moves that happen, say, ~1 hour before the first games in that sport go OTB or 1 hr. before that specific game.

[/ QUOTE ]

does this make sense? Its harder for me to tell if the moves are square or sharp nearer gametime.
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  #7  
Old 02-15-2007, 09:31 PM
ImNew ImNew is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

Oh it's easy, cos sharps usually move the line by 1 point or more, so if you see a red line at +9 -105 (or +10 -122) and the other book has it at +10, it's obv that it was moved by sharps. Public will move the lines, too, but the change is not as much.

I typically shop for lines 1-2 hours before game time, just keep waiting and the lines will move.
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  #8  
Old 02-15-2007, 09:48 PM
TheRover TheRover is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

right, most of the time, but i don't think every move at pinny is sharp especially on public games near gametime esp. now that americans are banned. i know it isn't in baseball anyway. i've always assumed its the same for NBA/NCAAB and been a bit more careful late. like waiting for indicators elsewhere to pop up.
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  #9  
Old 02-16-2007, 03:59 AM
ImNew ImNew is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

7-8
-2.36675 units
Bad day to start tracking [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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  #10  
Old 02-16-2007, 10:34 AM
scorer scorer is offline
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Default Re: The guys I follow.. Who are they?

nobody said it was easy...
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