Squeeeeze play?

[SlackerMcFly]

Bubble time SNG. $33 buy-in. Hero is BB (100/200).

Table had been passive mostly, with Villain very recently gaining most of his chips from a 3 way AI (he had Q8 to outdraw K8 and 72).

Seat 3 - Chip Leader ($4935 in chips)
Seat 4 - Meh Player ($2860 in chips)
Seat 7 - Villain ($3642.50 in chips)
Seat 8 - Hero ($2062.50 in chips)
Villain - Posts small blind $100
Hero - Posts big blind $200
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]]
Chip Leader - Calls $200
Meh Player- Folds
Villain - Calls $100

Reads: Chip Leader just wants to see a flop.
Villain: Kx, TT+, Ax.

A: Ram it all in!

B: Check and see a flop.

C: Raise $800

Not good at the poll thing, but really want to know your thoughts here. Thanks.

Slacka

Edited to say "Check" Thanks TFG

[TruFloridaGator]

You mean check? Pot is 25% of our stack but I usually like a better hand when we have 10x & it's the bubble. Check.

[FeNeF]

That's a mighty weird range for Villian. K2 but not 99? *blink*

Anyway, I'd just check.

[TruFloridaGator]

[ QUOTE ]
That's a mighty weird range for Villian. K2 but not 99? *blink*

Anyway, I'd just check.

[/ QUOTE ]

K2 is the new 99, duh.

[Eagles]

I check for sure.

[SeanyBullets]

Agree with the consesus.

[Slim Pickens]

First, I'd put Villain on a range more like {22+,A2+,K2+,Q5s+,Q8o+,J7s+,J9o+,T8s+,T9o}, minus the {TT+,ATs+,AJo+,KQ} I see him raising. Then I'd check and see a flop.

[SuitedSixes]

[ QUOTE ]
That's a mighty weird range for Villian. K2 but not 99? *blink*

Anyway, I'd just check.

[/ QUOTE ]

Welcome to the wacky world of Poker Theory with Slack!

[SlackerMcFly]

[ QUOTE ]
First, I'd put Villain on a range more like {22+,A2+,K2+,Q5s+,Q8o+,J7s+,J9o+,T8s+,T9o}, minus the {TT+,ATs+,AJo+,KQ} I see him raising. Then I'd check and see a flop.


[/ QUOTE ]

See now, this is why Slim is the nuts. Great read.

Now where are all of the explanations as to why a check/raise/push are right or wrong?

I'm not asking for an answer, I'm asking for an answer why.

[SlackerMcFly]

[ QUOTE ]
Welcome to the wacky world of Poker Theory with Slack!


[/ QUOTE ]

Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] is a slight favorite over holdings like 88 and a random hand. Even KT and some random hand. Something like 41/39/19.

Why is it that the bubble/aggression doesn't apply here?

It is +EV to shove given the tightness of the players and the odds. No???