50NL 6 max, mono flop against a regular

[betafemale]

Villian has $47 I cover. His stats (vpip/preflop raise): 23/10, my stats 14/6. Villian is a quad-tabling regular. Not great but not bad.

5 people. I limp utg with 88, cutoff and button folds. Villian (SB) completes, BB checks.

Flop comes 7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (pot: $1.50)

sb checks, bb checks, I bet pot, sb calls, bb folds.

Turn: 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (pot: $4.50)

villian checks, I bet $3, he calls again.

River: 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (pot: $10.50)

villian bets out $10, I?

I am not that worried about a flopped flush or a set, he would play that faster. Also he should not have a 9 in his hand for running 9s or an overpair, so my two pair should be good or am I wrong? Is this a call or not, that is the question.

Some people might argue that I should have raised preflop, but I usually do not do that, atleast not early pos.

[Vyse]

I think you're good here

[matrix]

raise preflop.

you want to make the potsize on the flop larger so you can get your stack in the middle on the occasions you flop a set. Sets play well from any position. Also a flop bet CB will get some respect coming from an EP tight player so you can steal the pot on a lot of flops if you raise preflop as well.

I think river is a call - he check called twice and then pots the river vs a nit (if he's a "not bad reg" he ought to have noticed how tight you are) However he might well have put you on a draw and thinks he can steal - I think it's pretty close tbh so it doesn't matter much what you do. I'd lean slightly towards calling so I can take a note on this line but I'd expect to get shown some garbage with a 9 in it a chunk of the time.

79 Ad9s Kd9s etc

[Imrahil]

Fold. You've shown strength on two streets and now villain just bets out on the river. This is never a bluff.

[betafemale]

Now lets say that BB would have played it the same way. His stats is 68/13, with a $50 stack. How would you play it?