$16 - 66 ITM

Jago · #1 02-01-2007, 06:58 AM

Was this really really really bad? Villain is quite competent(was playing on 3 of my 4 tables) so i assume he's pushing almost ATC

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t300/t600
(Ante: t50)
3 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Button: t4610
Hero: t6760
BB: t2130

Pre-flop: (3 players) Hero is SB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Button raises all-in t4560</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in t6710</font>.

guenttrs · #2 02-01-2007, 07:28 AM

With the high blinds an huge aggression before its ok. Maybe villains dont push ATC, but you should be ahead against his range.

Corrupt Rose · #3 02-01-2007, 07:36 AM

I don't have SNGPT available right now, but I would think this is a fold.

guenttrs · #4 02-01-2007, 07:47 AM

After some ICM calculations it should be slightly +EV against ATC.

66 wins against ATC 63%

Before you have 0,39% Money.

0,63*0,47 + 0,37*0,29 = 0,397%

If your read with ATC is wrong and he pushes top50%:

0,54*0,47 + 0,46*0,29 = 0,387%

Jago · #5 02-01-2007, 09:49 AM

so it's almost as +EV if villain pushes top 50%?

RexWoo · #6 02-01-2007, 10:10 AM

Breakeven point is around 17% for vilain so you can safely call.

Good call !

AMT · #7 02-01-2007, 10:29 AM

its fine probably...but i wouldnt consider just the fact that hes playing on 3 of your games as enough reason to consider him "competent" [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]