flopping a set

[righty0130]

anyone know the odds of two people flopping a set????

[Superflush]

Too low to even worry about

[Hoffma]

11.8%, should I show my work?

[Tom1975]

Given that two people have already been dealt a pocket pair, the odds are:

2*2*44/C(48,3)=1.01%

[jay_shark]

Well if two players have pocket pairs then it's 72/73*1.01%=1.003% since both players may have the same pocket pair .

In general you have to estimate the probability that a player may have a pocket pair given how he's played the hand up to that point . A realistic number is something around 40 % but this may depend on if the player is in early or late position . This may also include the pocket pair that you're holding , so you multiply 40% by 72/73 and then by 1.01 % .