10NL, good draw vs tighty's flop aggression

[Esmerelda]

Villain was basically unknown to me but had played about 25 hands at 13/5/1. The whole table had been tight
and she fit right in.


Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10
8 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $5.15
UTG+1: $12.05
MP1: $11
Esmerelda: $9.75
CO: $10.35
Button: $9.40
SB: $5.75
BB: $28.05

Pre-flop: (8 players) Esmerelda is MP2 with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Esmerelda raises to $0.4</font>, CO calls, 3 folds.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($0.95, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Esmerelda bets $0.7</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $2</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Esmerelda raises all-in $9.35</font>.

I am thinking that oop I want to push rather call and that villain can fold better pairs. OTOH villain seems tight and passive and isn't likely to be doing this with a hand he will fold easily.

[Jurrr]

What is hero's table image?

[Esmerelda]

Good point. I had rather foolishly pushed a OESD against a shorties flop minraise a couple orbits before and got called by a set. I am pretty sure this villain was at the table but no idea if she noticed. Otherwise I was playing my usual TAG and had done nothing shady or noteworthy.

[jetsetboy]

As long as you play JJ/55/44 exactly the same way, it's fine. Even If vilain as a set quite often after his raise, he won't allways have a set (sometimes he will have AJ/54/76/AsKs/AsQs/QQ+), so you have some FE and thus the proper odds to push (or at least it is close). If you only consider this hand I think it's marginally winning/losing to push here, once you had the time when you will have a set you'll see it's clearly Ev+.

[Keys Myaths]

Before I do this, I like to look at the percentage of time villain sees showdown.

If it's less than 20%, I turbo-push this.