Baseball Season - Recommended study materials

[MadTiger]

I am not new to gambing, but I am very new to doing things the +EV Sharp way.

That being said, I wanted the forum members' opinions on what they choose to read/review for handicapping baseball.

Baseball Weekly? USA Today? Covers.com?

Thank you in advance!

MadTiger

[wiesman02]

don't do any studying IMO unless u know absolutely nothing about baseball. Your best bet is not bet the first week of baseball. Watch the games and start betting the 2nd week. You can analyze stats all you want, but until u see how a team players together, I wouldnt make any bets.

Thats just my 2 cents.

[ftball0000]

I'm a big fan of baseballprospectus.com among others. But I second the advice of the previous poster. I go as far as to not bet on the 1st month of baseball

[DougOzzzz]

IMO sabermetrics is the way to go with baseball handicapping. In other sports, stats don't tell the full story. In baseball, they come damn near close to doing so. It has been proven 1000 times over that saber stats do a better job of predicting future outcomes than traditional stats. As long as there are people willing to bet on pitcher's with gaudy W-L records and ERAs despite mediocre peripheral stats there should be a slight edge to those who virtually ignore such factors.

Baseballprospectus.com is a fine site; other sites that I recommend (which are free) are hardballtimes.com, baseballthingfactory.org, and tangotiger.net.

Combine this with following basic trends (i.e. home dogs, fade the public, etc.) as well as line shopping and you should have a winning formula.

[MadTiger]

Man, Thanks! I suspected the sabermetrics, but had no clue about about those websites yet.

[MadTiger]

Thank you, also, wiesman02, the Wise Man.

First week I should leave it alone or be all over the Devil Rays? Hehe.

[SunOfBeach]

read everything by tangotiger. then read it again...

[lastsamurai]

I totally agree with the poster that said wait 1 month before you start betting on baseball..by then most of the starters have 4 starts already and you know who the sleeper pitchers are and the sleeper teams... (unless you actually go to a game and have something to root for other than doing the wave or to hit a beachball ie dodgers staduim)

I personally dont use sabermetrics but i want to learn more about it.

[mrbaseball]

[ QUOTE ]
I totally agree with the poster that said wait 1 month before you start betting on baseball

[/ QUOTE ]

Hmmmm? April is historically one of my very best months of the season. The favs are more favored and the dogs are more disliked. You can get some absolutely phenominal lines in April because everyone knows that the Yankees or Red Sox won't lose a game this season and the Royals and Devil Rays will most likely lose 162 straight.

4 or 5 good teams will stumble out of the gate (think Indians or Houston last year) and 4 or 5 bad teams will come out roaring (ie Orioles, Nationals) and this makes for some nice profits before teams regress to that mean the other thread talks about.

[Freerollin`]

Would anyone kindly recommend where I can learn more about sabremetrics?