(16) Bubble call?

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PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t400 with t25 antes (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t9985)
Button (t2255)
Hero (t735)
BB (t525)

Preflop: Hero is in SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="red">Button raises to t800</font>,

Every player at the table doesn't have a clue of what's goin on. If I call I think theres a decent chance bb will call with any 2 but im not sure if it's worth riskin it.

[Luisgallo]

you are not going to see any better hand than this on average before you will get blinded off.

BB will fold.

You should be EV+

[aujoz]

ICM calculators are awesome. You should consider using one.


Without doing the math (which would give you the right answer) my instinct is to fold.

Reasoning:
BB is forced to call here with any two, if he has only 100 chips remaining after posting big blind. If he doesn't, he is all-in for small blind next hand.

I assume the mid-stack is not raising any two, and thus, is a favourite to win this hand.

Your advantage with A9 over the buttons' raise is not large enough.

[Luisgallo]

Why is BB forced to call when he can wait hero's destiny?

[lastas]

hes forced to call if we fold, and will probably fold alot if we call. so probably fold.

[spacegravy]

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hes forced to call if we fold, and will probably fold alot if we call. so probably fold.

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Thats exactly what went through my head so i folded, but he had it on insta call so i was thinkin maybe i should make more of these calls because donks are going to make this call if we call more often that we think.

[mmorpg]

instafold