$6 Bubble play

Bedz · #1 01-04-2007, 10:09 PM

UTG has been pushing some hands like this when he doues not have to. He has been called and won every time, not always with good cards (...), so I am probobly ahead of his range. The thing is that the play is not that good, and I feel confident that I can make it into the money without risking all my chips here.

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t100/t200
4 players
Converter

Seat 4: Hero t2040
Seat 1: UTG t8870
Seat 6: SB t5845
Seat 7: BB t3245

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG raises all-in t8870, Hero folds, 2 folds.
Uncalled bets: t8670 returned to UTG.

Results:
Final pot: t500

RexWoo · #2 01-05-2007, 06:06 AM

Calling is bad except if he pushes more than 80% of his hands. I really don't think he does.

Fold.

Luisgallo · #3 01-05-2007, 07:54 AM

I don't see why calling would be bad.
you are ahead most of the time here.

mnlgrind · #4 01-05-2007, 08:09 AM

you maybe ahead of villain but I won't feel too good about the call...

aujoz · #5 01-05-2007, 08:15 AM

SNGPT is cool.

a) the mathematics of ICM can give you a fairly good answer

and

b) without having done said mathematics, I would fold. you have 10bb, and plenty of time remaining. even if you call, you're unlikely to be better than 50/50 of winning. EVEN IF you call, and win, you're still not guaranteed to be ITM.

RexWoo · #6 01-05-2007, 09:47 AM

To be clear : my answer commes straight from SnGWiz

Luisgallo · #7 01-05-2007, 07:42 AM

I call here.