JJ overpair faces heat

sharpie · #1 12-20-2006, 02:45 AM

PFRer is 40/30 over 30 hands and is sitting down with 42 G's. PRRer is 27/17/1.9 over 200 hands and have notes he has bluff check/raised a gutshot on a paired turn, and also reraised out of the BB in a blind defense with A6o, bet a Kxx flop, checked the turn, and bet a blank river with no pair and got called by A5 high.

PokerStars 5/10 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP raises, CO 3-bets, 1 fold, Hero caps, 1 fold, MP calls, CO calls.

Flop: (13 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, MP raises, CO 3-bets, Hero???

LoaferGee · #2 12-20-2006, 03:29 AM

I don't think you have much other option than to just call down here. That 3-bet is a pretty strong move, but given the notes you have on him, you have to take this hand to showdown.

Nick C · #3 12-20-2006, 03:58 AM

Crap, this sucks. I guess I cold-call and hope MP slows down [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]?

joeyb · #4 12-20-2006, 04:15 AM

do you still call down on a A turn?

Bullitos · #5 12-20-2006, 06:08 AM

You have to coldcall this, it's too early to drop and there's not much merit in capping OOP.

Reevaluate on the turn.

mvoss · #6 12-20-2006, 06:30 AM

The most obvious hands for them to hold would be a PP 7's or higher, but I don't think you can rule out a hand like A7 or AK/Q for MP.

You have represented a lot of strength, but these guys don't seem to care. On the other hand this is a very nice flop for a 88-TT hand which are definitely within these guys ranges.

If we put MP on 77+ or A7, and CO on 77+ you have about 34% equity, so there is little value to be gained by capping. I'd just call and see if they continue to go nuts on the turn. I want to show down this hand, but if an OC to your J's fall and villains keep raising it may be dfficult to get to SD.