Turned trips facing shove - 25NL

Jimmy Vulmer · #1 12-14-2006, 10:49 AM

villian is 30%/6%

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Button ($25.60)
SB ($21.20)
BB ($6.25)
UTG ($25.40)
MP ($24.90)
Hero ($48.60)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.25, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.

Flop: ($2.85) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $2, UTG raises to $4, Hero calls $2.

Turn: ($10.85) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $19.25, Hero ?

MadMat · #2 12-14-2006, 10:56 AM

I think you've got to fold, limp/call from UTG preflop points to a PP, min raise on flop strongly suggests he has hit his set.

IMHO the overbet is either a boat or a bluff, have you seen him bluff scare cards before ?

Mat

maccamack · #3 12-14-2006, 10:58 AM

At the home of great second best hands (Pokerstars) - this is a fold. Any other place I think you call.

beaster · #4 12-14-2006, 11:05 AM

I'm thinking villain has either QJ, 22, or 77. I don't think he has AQ as he would have raised PF.

Min checkraise makes me think he has something big. Fold.

Javanewt · #5 12-14-2006, 11:50 AM

Wow, that's a really tough fold. Why would he go all-in if he had such a huge hand? Wouldn't he want to make money? Or, is he a level up trying to act as if he's bluffing? That would be a tough fold for me. Still not sure what I'd do.

I know a lot of people who bet this way thinking hero is on a flush draw and want to get him out. Still thinking...

Sir Winalot · #6 12-14-2006, 01:06 PM

Fold turn, this is 22/77 95% of the time. I think flop is fine.

Smilin' · #7 12-14-2006, 02:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Fold turn, this is 22/77 95% of the time. I think flop is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is Villain that unlikely to be on a semibluff flush draw? I'm not saying I vote call, but is it not even close?

RichC. · #8 12-14-2006, 02:36 PM

I probably call this as i just dont think i am beat here often enough.

blackize · #9 12-14-2006, 02:54 PM

I expect to see Qx or a flush draw often enough to get it in here profitably.

King Car · #10 12-14-2006, 04:10 PM

Villain's line smells like 22/77. Notes/reads help here.