Bowl Games help please

[noddyholder]

I'm in a Bowl Game pool where you have to rank your picks based on how sure you are that the team you pick will win the game WITHOUT the point spread. What would be your top 5 "best bets" in the Bowl games starting with the Fla. St vs UCLA game through the Championship game?

[Vince Young]

Rutgers
Texas
BC
LSU
Ohio State

[noddyholder]

Thanks. So far I'm thinking:

Ohio St.
LSU
Louisville
West Virginia
Texas

Anyone else?

[McFadden]

I particularly like LSU. Notre Dame is the least deserving team in any of the BCS bowls IMO.

[kdog]

LSU
Oklahoma
Louisville
West Virginia
Rutgers

I left Texas off the top 5 due to QB and motivation for this game questions. As for Ohio St., I like them but Florida COULD win.

[TheRover]

LSU
clemson
louisville
texas
rutgers

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
I particularly like LSU. Notre Dame is the least deserving team in any of the BCS bowls IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]


Deserving or not. LSU is a much better team. Neutral field (which it isn't it will be decidedly more LSU than ND, but not the same as Death Valley) they should probably be favored by over a TD.

[iggymcfly]

LSU
Cincinnatti
West Virginia
Rutgers
Boston College

Louisville, Texas, and Clemson are all big favorites that I wouldn't be that comfortable taking the ML on due to motivational issues.

[MCS]

ClemPson
Louisville
Texas
Cincinnati
Ohio State

[beetman]

Pools like these aren't rocket science, for the most part you just pick the larger favorites since lines are pretty efficient at this point, although I will say that I don't like Ohio St. at all. I think Florida has a very good chance of winning this game.

There's a bit of an advantage to being contrarian in pools like these and I'd be inclined to rank Rutgers a little higher than the -7.5 spread would normally indicate, as I think that line's a bit too low.