Overcard Shove

Tickner · #1 12-13-2006, 03:31 AM

$200 stacks

utg makes it 7 I 3bet to 24 with AKo on button he calls

Flop T J 4 rainbow $50 pot

he donks for $28, I shove.

Thoughts?

absoludicrous · #2 12-13-2006, 03:39 AM

It's marginal imo. What's your reads on him?

Against his calling range you're at best a 3.5:1 dog...

Kowalski · #3 12-13-2006, 03:41 AM

Aggressive... almost spew aggressive.

EvanJC · #4 12-13-2006, 03:45 AM

what are you hoping to hear? its marginally spewy, and probably slightly -EV. but w/e, you know?

absoludicrous · #5 12-13-2006, 03:46 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Aggressive... almost spew aggressive.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's kind of my thoughts too. Either villain has nothing, or villain is licking his chops.

Tickner · #6 12-13-2006, 03:46 AM

do u guys think he calls this very often?

absoludicrous · #7 12-13-2006, 03:52 AM

[ QUOTE ]
do u guys think he calls this very often?

[/ QUOTE ]

You still haven't given us any observed reads.
Do you have any?

If he's passive, then probably not. If he's loose, then yes...he's probably calling you with any jack, a set obv, two pair, and any over pair. And with his calling range, you're almost a 4:1 dog.

Jamougha · #8 12-13-2006, 01:38 PM

If he is any good then this is standard, if he's bad then it's probably spew.

Klompy · #9 12-13-2006, 01:49 PM

[ QUOTE ]
If he is any good then this is standard , if he's bad then it's probably spew.

[/ QUOTE ]

huh?

killphilNI · #10 12-13-2006, 01:58 PM

Very player/image dependent.

For this to be profitable you would need to have seen the villain calling light preflop and donk betting weak hands in the past.