to value bet or not to value bet

[Heine]

New to the table, maybe 5th orbit. Really unsure if a river check is the right move. What do you guys think?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $1.50
UTG+1: $94.15
Hero: $49.25
Button: $50
SB: $85.45
BB: $63

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $3</font>, 3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG calls all-in $1</font>, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($8.25, 2 players + 1 all-in - Main pot: $5.25, Sidepot 1: $3)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $8.25</font>, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($24.75, 2 players + 1 all-in - Main pot: $5.25, Sidepot 1: $19.5)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $18</font>, UTG+1 calls.

River: 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($60.75, 2 players + 1 all-in - Main pot: $5.25, Sidepot 1: $55.5)
UTG+1 checks, Hero ????.

Results:
Final pot: $60.75

[Abramovic]

Allin.

[AceLuby]

I'm checking behind on this one, probably the worst card for you. I say not value bet, what hands do you beat that will call a value bet besides AJ? We have a lot of showdown value still.

[Smilin']

I figure a plausible range is AJ; KJ; QJ; Adxd; maybe 56s or A2o. I don't see anything folding to a push with only $20 behind. So looks to me like you're slightly ahead and this is a thin value bet. With say $40 behind I'd be inclined to check.

[Abramovic]

I tend to think the river is a blank. Its very unlikely he has a 2 or 7, and you want to maximise the value out of AJ/KJ.

[kerplunkNL]

I got c/r on the river quite a few times tonight. I am biased to check behind. Wouldn't surprise if this is a very badly played turned flush.

[bozzer]

As played check river. I am worried about a flush or a set on the flop. It's ballsy of him to check to you on the river if he does have that sort of hand, but you have shown a lot of strength.

I think I would have checked the turn and then called a normal river bet.

[BomberMase]

I would value bet this river. Your bets have told the villian that you like this hand. It seems if he had the flush he'd make sure you pay here. Based on the play so far it seems AJ KJ or maybe QQ are all plausible holdings and you'd like to extract value from them.

[johnc]

Given the board texture, I'm leaning towards a check. obviously many hands will play this way vs your aggression that you beat ie AJ, QQ, even TT (if you're up against someone who just can't fold) but I believe you'll also see non-nut flushes play the same way, bottom 2 w/34s or a turned or rivered set or fives or sixes. The Str8 w/ 78 or A2 might seem a bit far fetched esp vs a reasonable opponent but even though you've made their draw unprofitable doesn't mean they won't continue on and try to make it. Realize the board may look a bit too scary for your opponent to raise your aggressive betting and tell you they have a better hand but calling may not. You hand has good showdown value and I think you need to find a check here and save the value bets for less marginal situations when the board offers less possibilites for your opponent to be ahead.

[h0ser]

I check behind here. I don't see many hands that you beat calling a value bet at this point so I don't think you're missing out on a whole lot by checking.