Calculating winning chances on the bubble?

[HitTheTrips]

Lets say we're on the bubble.
I got t1800.
Other players have t3200 , t5000, and t1500

Given all the players have same exact skills,
What are my chances of winning 1st place?
2nd? and 3rd place?

Anyone know exactly how to calculate this ?

[rdgabino]

info is missing

Calling ranges / blinds / how passive-active players are...

[Oubliette]

unless someone is prop betting you, i cant see how this information matters too much.

[HitTheTrips]

I'm trying to calculate $EV myself thats why i need em.
or are those information unnecessary?

[HitTheTrips]

[ QUOTE ]
info is missing

Calling ranges / blinds / how passive-active players are...

[/ QUOTE ]
"Given all the players have same exact skills"

[BradleyT]

Use ICM - http://sharnett.bol.ucla.edu/ICM/ICM.html - to figure out how much your stack is worth.

We'll use a $10 SnG with 10 players as an example ($100 prize pool)

Enter 1800, 3200, 5000, 1500 and press compute.
You should get .198, .2837, .348, .1704 respectively.

Multiply each of those times the prize pool and that's your equity of your stack (you should get $19.80 for yours).

Now here's an exercise:

What is the equity of your stack when you
A) Double through the 5000 stack
B) Double through the 3200 stack
C) Double through the 1500 stack

And two bonus questions: (disregard blinds for now)
D) If you take a coin-flip vs. the big stack, how much equity do you lose?
E) What % favorite does your hand need to be in order for your equity to increase? (vs. big stack)