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#1
12-03-2006, 08:43 PM
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1-for-4?
These days I'm comfortable in the 20-40 game unless the 40 is so good I can't bring myself not to sit. Last night was one of those games.
CAZ 40-80. Regular, who thinks he's very good but, to put it gently, has misconceptions about poker that permeate every aspect of his game, straddles. Two very loose donating types call. I three-bet right behind him in EMP with As 8c. A winning young regular, who has made some strange-seeming plays but is almost certainly a strong player and possibly expert, immediately and confidently calls three cold right behind me. The straddler four-bets blind and we all call. Five to the flop for four bets and I have A8o. Whoops. Flop Ks Qs 6h. Straddler bets dark, both tourists call in a manner that indicates to me they have nothing, I call, young winner calls. Turn 8d. Straddler bets dark, both tourists fold, I raise. The rest of the hand is less interesting, at least strategically: The straddler says "Oh, now I have to look, Nate!" and squeezes his cards then grins at me and calls. I've logged a few hours with this guy and I would bet serious money he has a hand but can't beat a king. A queen seems most likely. I decide to call a single bet on the river, because then I'd know my physical read was wrong and he had 2 pair+ or some bust hand, and to check behind if he checks because bluffing would be hopeless. Of course I catch a gorgeous 8 on the river and he checks and I bet. Usually I don't post results in OPs but you can probably guess that I won the pot, he flipped out a little, and I got tons of action for the rest of the night. (But even so, I have more information to share later.) --Nate 
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#5
12-03-2006, 11:56 PM
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Re: 1-for-4?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I three-bet right behind him in EMP with As 8c. [/ QUOTE ] I hate when this happens. [/ QUOTE ] Both limpers are playing >80% of their hands. Does this change anything? Actually, my best guesses of the ranges are something like 80% and 86%. --Nate
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#7
12-04-2006, 12:17 AM
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Re: 1-for-4?
Nate,
I think the preflop play is absolutely horrible. If you do some basic equities on your hand vs. 2 random hands (given that the two coldcallers don't have great hands but you can't eliminate some "premiums" either) then your equity isn't horrible, but once you consider that you still have several people left to act, your average equity goes down quite a bit. I think you'll be getting yourself in a lot more trouble raising than you would be by folding, and I don't think it's particularly close given your position and the fact that you still have to win the hand, even when you manage to get some folds behind you. Rob
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#10
12-04-2006, 05:42 AM
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Re: 1-for-4?
Well, in the flop was an easy call, with an overcard and the backdoor nut flush, because the pot was very big.
Preflop it's a bad raise. If you play against very bad people you can raise with worse hands, but A8o it's too bad, unless you are in CO or the button, and even then I don't think raising is a good move.
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