Atlanta @ Baltimore?

vexel77 · #1 11-16-2006, 06:05 PM

The line is -4. Surely baltimore should be much bigger favourites than this? Vick has been awful recently, and he has never been the best away from in the past. What ya'll think?

MacGuyV · #2 11-16-2006, 06:17 PM

Why do you care how Vick has been 'recently'? If the last 4 weeks tell you anything, it should be that it doesn't matter how he did the previous week.

canada_dry · #3 11-16-2006, 06:43 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Why do you care how Vick has been 'recently'? If the last 4 weeks tell you anything, it should be that it doesn't matter how he did the previous week.

[/ QUOTE ]

Very true. Either Atlanta will shine or they won't. Or somewhere in the middle.

Stay away from this bet.

silentbob · #4 11-16-2006, 06:50 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Why do you care how Vick has been 'recently'? If the last 4 weeks tell you anything, it should be that it doesn't matter how he did the previous week.

[/ QUOTE ]

vexel77 · #5 11-16-2006, 07:37 PM

I dunno, i went for 2 units on baltimore. Falcons are missing kerney now for the season, abraham is out so are webster and mathis. Although im not sure if webster being out is a bad thing or not. I think jamal lewis will have a great day against the falcons poor run defense. Baltimores defense will keep vick contained and the falcons will have a tough day on offense in general.

NajdorfDefense · #6 11-16-2006, 07:41 PM

I think Balt should be -6 due to ATL injury woes.

CharlieDontSurf · #7 11-16-2006, 08:01 PM

ray lewis is out for the game
but balt should still work atl

mmbt0ne · #8 11-16-2006, 09:18 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Falcons are missing kerney now for the season, abraham is out so are webster and mathis. Although im not sure if webster being out is a bad thing or not.

[/ QUOTE ]

Heh, true that.

I think a bigger factor is finding out whether or not Jimmy Williams is going to play. If he does, Atlanta will have 2 cover corners, which should help some against the run.

Also, Matt Lehr is coming back from steroid suspension, so he should help the Atlanta O-line. However, he won't be back to his starting position.

rjp · #9 11-16-2006, 10:19 PM

If I read it correctly Lewis' backup is injured, too. The Titans ran all over Baltimore, so it's tough not seeing Atlanta have some success, too.

cbloom · #10 11-16-2006, 11:35 PM

Betting against Atlanta is almost always +EV but Baltimore has a lot of problems this week and has only been barely winning games. I think -4 is probably about right, I don't bet this.