Daliman's NFL wong teasers: Week 10

[Daliman]

I just can't help myself. I know I should wait, but I gotta get Seattle while I can, so...

Sea -8/-2 (week 9 mon nite game)
Miami +1.5/+7.5 ( I suspect this line will improve as week goes on, btw, but again, need it for Seattle)
Bears +2.5/+8.5

Teased Games: 30-3 (90.91%)
2 Team Teases: 39-11 (78%)
3 Team teases: 1-0 (100%)
4 Team Teases: 6-1 (85.71%)
+6318

Gl all

[Skipbidder]

[ QUOTE ]

Sea -8/-2 (week 9 mon nite game)
Miami +1.5/+7.5
Bears +2.5/+8.5

[/ QUOTE ]

If you want to bet this as a three-teamer, it seems to be available now at Pinny at better lines, which I've just bet:

Seattle Seahawks (-1)
Miami Dolphins (+8.5)
Chicago Bears (+9)

DON'T BET THIS, SINCE I'M A MORON...PINNY ONLY PAYS 8-5 on 3-teamers.

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Sea -8/-2 (week 9 mon nite game)
Miami +1.5/+7.5
Bears +2.5/+8.5

[/ QUOTE ]

If you want to bet this as a three-teamer, it seems to be available now at Pinny at better lines, which I've just bet:

Seattle Seahawks (-1)
Miami Dolphins (+8.5)
Chicago Bears (+9)

[/ QUOTE ]

Doesn't pinny's 3 team line payout suck balls, like +160 or so?

Either way, No more 3 teamers for me while +100 2's are available.

[DropGems]

Are these teasers supposed to hit this much or is this just crazy variance and you could just as easily be 3-30 instead of 30-3. If i'd been following these things since week 1 I'd be up like 75k. congrats on the near flawless teaser record.

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
Are these teasers supposed to hit this much or is this just crazy variance and you could just as easily be 3-30 instead of 30-3. If i'd been following these things since week 1 I'd be up like 75k. congrats on the near flawless teaser record.

[/ QUOTE ]

I suppose I could be just as easily 16-17 or so, but 3-30 for somthing that happens ~72% of the time is awfully remote. They are running white hot, likely also HIGHLY remote that they could run this hot. I've been doing a slight bit of capping and line grabbing with this, but other than that, it's not rocket science.

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Sea -8/-2 (week 9 mon nite game)
Miami +1.5/+7.5
Bears +2.5/+8.5

[/ QUOTE ]

If you want to bet this as a three-teamer, it seems to be available now at Pinny at better lines, which I've just bet:

Seattle Seahawks (-1)
Miami Dolphins (+8.5)
Chicago Bears (+9)

DON'T BET THIS, SINCE I'M A MORON...PINNY ONLY PAYS 8-5 on 3-teamers.

[/ QUOTE ] [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] Well, maybe you'll win them all anyways, the way things are running. Prolly not that highly -EV at that.

[Skipbidder]

[ QUOTE ]
Doesn't pinny's 3 team line payout suck balls, like +160 or so?

Either way, No more 3 teamers for me while +100 2's are available.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why...yes. Apparently they DO only pay 8-5. Suckload of suck.

[Thremp]

FWIW I've bet only true wongs and most close to kickoff this season and I'm 9-3 40.6u wagered and +.2u

Some were -110. I probably should break down and move some cash and take 3 teamers or 4 teamers instead at better odds instead of -110 pricing.

[grafyx]

Dali,

Seattle is widely available at -7. Is it better to just bet Seattle ATS at -7 -105 ?

I guess this is a wong teaser on 5dimes, but that seems to be more a function of the screwed up way they set the teaser lines.

[Daliman]

[ QUOTE ]
Dali,

Seattle is widely available at -7. Is it better to just bet Seattle ATS at -7 -105 ?

I guess this is a wong teaser on 5dimes, but that seems to be more a function of the screwed up way they set the teaser lines.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not really a handicapper, but I'm guessing the math would say it's close.