Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Gambling > Sports Betting
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:38 PM
Black Aces 518 Black Aces 518 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: play bad, run bad
Posts: 1,752
Default 11/4 movie lines

Borat is listed at 12 million with +145 on the over. I looooove the over here, someone help me pls.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:41 PM
Jibba Jibba is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,020
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

Wow ... kind of surprised at how low it is and the odds. But I don't know a thing about movie lines. Is there something big coming out this weekend for competition? That's the only thing I can think of. This things been advertised like crazy and I'd expect it to be a bit of a hit as a date movie or just something for teenagers to do.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:48 PM
03 Z4 03 Z4 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 225
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

See my other thread on Borat.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:50 PM
Jibba Jibba is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,020
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

[ QUOTE ]
See my other thread on Borat.

[/ QUOTE ]

Makes sense. Like I said, I don't know anything about movie lines.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:02 PM
Black Aces 518 Black Aces 518 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: play bad, run bad
Posts: 1,752
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

ZOMG WTF 800 theaters? ?????

I've seen so many commercials for it, and the previews for it in theaters get so many laughs and "oh my god gotta see that." I can't believe 800 theaters.

I AM BUSTO.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-01-2006, 03:56 AM
Staniel Staniel is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 9
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

Why is Borat line going crazy on a hourly basis on Pinnacle? What do you guys think about Santa Clause 3 and Flushed Out. Judging by stats, both seem worthy of betting for the over. any suggestions?
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-01-2006, 05:31 AM
Shakes Shakes is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Waffles Are Outrageous
Posts: 1,464
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

[ QUOTE ]
Why is Borat line going crazy on a hourly basis on Pinnacle? What do you guys think about Santa Clause 3 and Flushed Out. Judging by stats, both seem worthy of betting for the over. any suggestions?

[/ QUOTE ]

Doesn't it seem early for a Christmas movie?

Both of these movies look like stinkers to me, but then again, I'm certainly not their target audience.

I'm pretty sure either one or the other goes over, but not both. They're both aimed at kids, for the most part, though I could see how the animated films are geared towards adults to an extent as well. What they both have going for them is that they get 5 showings in each day, they get a lot more action on matinee showings than a movie like Borat would, and they both have huge screen openings.

It's just a question of how much family movie money there is to go around.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-01-2006, 03:47 PM
Staniel Staniel is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 9
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

These Santa Clause movies seem to put assess in the seats, and although it obviously won't do as well as Santa clause 2, i think its going to pass 23 mill, but it will be close. Flushed Out, to me, seems like a lock. These movies always do well, this one shouldn't be an exception. Then again, I am probably on tilt from betting Borat on the over before looking at theater numbers.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-01-2006, 03:52 PM
Black Aces 518 Black Aces 518 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: play bad, run bad
Posts: 1,752
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

[ QUOTE ]
These Santa Clause movies seem to put assess in the seats, and although it obviously won't do as well as Santa clause 2, i think its going to pass 23 mill, but it will be close. Flushed Out, to me, seems like a lock. These movies always do well, this one shouldn't be an exception. Then again, I am probably on tilt from betting Borat on the over before looking at theater numbers.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm on super mega tilt. I bet hard on the over, and now have a negative arb. I break even if under 11m, kill myself if 11-12 and win if it goes over 12. I think under 11 is more likely than over 12, but I can't hedge any more to under 11, as that further increases the devastation if it hits the middle. I know it's coming 11.9, and I will seriously be sick.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-01-2006, 04:00 PM
rutang rutang is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 504
Default Re: 11/4 movie lines

i'm on tilt the other way. i don't believe that borat can do so poorly. critics love it, people are excited about it. i've heard people talking about the movie for months now, nonstop. 1500 per theater is rough, but doable for a movie as exciting as this one. also, theaters may get added later in the week. i'm buying a few overs here. i'm willing to mash it up on this movie, and won't feel so dumb if it's all jackassed away.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.