nl100 what a pickle..

[Nielsio]

Poker Room skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
4 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $99.50
Button: $83.10
SB: $127.80
BB: $339.75

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is UTG with 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $3</font>, Button folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($8.x, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $6</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to $20</font>, BB folds, Hero calls.

Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($48, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $40</font>, Hero ..?


Should I not have bet the flop?


===
Board: Ah Tc 9d 5h
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 31.1616 % 31.16% 00.00% { 8h7h }
Hand 2: 68.8384 % 68.84% 00.00% { TT-99, AKs, ATs-A9s, T9s, AKo, ATo-A9o, T9o }
===

[carnivalhobo]

call, i dont see what the problem is

[Dan Bitel]

I check this flop a lot

Easy turn call

[goofball]

From a rough glance you're getting 40:125 odds. Looks like just enough.

[UTRounder]

what about moving in?

[SonOfWestwood]

Call the turn bet and hit your draw.

[Get_better_Baris]

flop bet is stardard but u should be checking it back sometimes.moving in on turn is very very bad. you will not fold out any hands with just about a mini raise left. just call and spike it on river and bet all in(a call here is close to break even also but i am a station).if u miss just fold. also sometimes depending on villain 3 bet flop if he folds alot to aggression with just one pair.

[Nielsio]

Can someone verify this?


Suppose above-mentioned equity is correct (so I'm forgetting about reverse implied for a minute):

69% of the time I lose 40 bucks -&gt; 69% * 40 = -27.60
31% of the time I win 88+37(behind) = 125 -&gt; 31% * 125 = 38.75

Netto turn-call = $11.15 ?

So it might be close to 0 EV after I add reverse implied??


PS I folded btw

[bobman0330]

Folding this would be a substantial error.

[ajmargarine]

Call. You're not at Full Tilt so at least you have a chance to hit your draw. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]