This is (almost) always a big pair, right?

CityFan · #1 10-25-2006, 03:40 PM

Stars $2.20

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

MP1 (t2435)
MP2 (t3760)
MP3 (t1115)
CO (t6435)
Button (t3150)
SB (t3930)
Hero (t3855)
UTG (t3670)
UTG+1 (t1740)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
2 folds, MP1 calls t100, 2 folds, CO calls t100, 2 folds, Hero raises to t400, MP1 calls t300, CO raises to t1000

My instinct here was to call, then I started thinking about the push...

I don't like it because:

His range is mostly AA - TT here.
Fold equity must be close to zero.
Even discounting AA and KK, I'm putting the rest of my stack in when I'm behind.
As you lot always say, I can find a better spot...

I did it though. Donk?

FortunaMaximus · #2 10-25-2006, 03:55 PM

A 2.5x from a deep-stacked player's designed to incite 3-bets with monsters, you're right in that analysis. I hear they teach that elsewhere. Shame it's exploitable.

You got outs against everything but are crushed by AA. And if your read in a 2.2 is that damn good...

Flatcall, use position, although you're still going broke quite a bit on Axx or Kxx boards regardless. Worth seeing a flop first 'fore you commit, 'cause there are other board textures that can swing your way against a very strong pair.

/opensource all the way, baby. obv.

kuro · #3 10-25-2006, 03:59 PM

Easy push in a $2.20. Villains range is much much wider than AA-TT. Without a read I'd guess you are 55:45 favorite at least against random player's range.