NL25, KK overpair facing c/r allin

Tomke · #1 10-23-2006, 04:18 PM

Paradise Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG+1 ($30.40)
MP1 ($6.90)
MP2 ($23.50)
Hero ($22.61)
CO ($24.38)
Button ($68.94)
SB ($54.90)
BB ($24.05)
UTG ($22.95)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
3 folds, MP2 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.1, 4 folds, MP2 calls $0.85.

Flop: ($2.55) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $2, MP2 calls $2.

Turn: ($6.55) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $5, MP2 raises to $20.4, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $31.95

Villain is 10/2/1, standard fold?

Dave I · #2 10-23-2006, 04:19 PM

Good fold.

Jigsaws · #3 10-23-2006, 04:43 PM

If the 10/2/1 is over a significant sample.... *very* easy fold. Otherwise: standard fold.

whodatdare · #4 10-23-2006, 04:47 PM

Given his low AF I think its a good fold here. You're probably going to see a set here a majority of the time.

nofutures · #5 10-23-2006, 05:02 PM

*grunch*

I call this. This is toppair ever so often, sometimes even middlepair, openender or flush draw. You have a gutshot draw and 2 outs for a set.

Anyway, you have 18.51$ left, the pot is ~40$, you only have to be good ~45% of the time.

Edit: after reading the other posts I'm confused. Maybe calling is a major error, but I can't see it. Can we really trust the random stats read? He could be bluffing or he thinks he has a read.

Shaddux · #6 10-23-2006, 05:06 PM

[ QUOTE ]
If the 10/2/1 is over a significant sample.... *very* easy fold. Otherwise: standard fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

wallywojo · #7 10-23-2006, 05:08 PM

Seems not likely to be top pair smooth-calling the flop. That type of hand would need to raise this flop on such a drawy board. My two cents.

Tomke · #8 10-23-2006, 05:14 PM

Sample size for those stats is ~250. Thanks for the feedback so far everyone.

pokerchap · #9 10-23-2006, 05:26 PM

standard