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  #1  
Old 10-17-2006, 05:23 PM
THAY3R THAY3R is offline
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Default Hollinger NBA Player Projections

These are the Top 15(not sure if I should past everything since this is ESPN Insider) players for the upcoming season based on Hollinger's Projected PER. Not surprisingly Lebron blows everyone away with a PPER of 31.86 and no one else over 27.

1. LeBron James, CLE
2005-06 season: James was younger than several players who entered the 2006 draft, but despite his youth he was arguably the best player in the league in 2005-06. He became the youngest player to...

2006-07
Projected PER
31.86
League Avg: +16.86
2005-06 PER: 28.17


2. Kobe Bryant, LAL
2005-06 season: I don't think Kobe Bryant was the best player in the league over the 82-game season. But when he was at his best, nobody could touch him. Say what you want about LeBron James and...

2006-07
Projected PER
27.00
League Avg: +12.00
2005-06 PER: 28.11


3. Dirk Nowitzki, DAL
2005-06 season: It was a banner season for Nowitzki, who sported the league's best PER and led the Mavs to their first-ever conference championship. He set career highs in field-goal percentage,...

2006-07
Projected PER
26.86
League Avg: +11.86
2005-06 PER: 28.20


4. Amare Stoudemire, PHO
2005-06 season: It was a wasted season for Amare Stoudemire, who had microfracture knee surgery just before training camp and made only a brief, aborted comeback before calling it a year. His offseason...

2006-07
Projected PER
26.12
League Avg: +11.12
2005-06 PER: 17.83


5. Dwyane Wade, MIA
2005-06 season: So ... anyone still think it's Shaq's team? Wade was mysteriously ignored in the MVP voting, based on the flimsy logic that since Shaquille O'Neal was the Heat's best player...

2006-07
Projected PER
25.91
League Avg: +10.91
2005-06 PER: 27.68


6. Kevin Garnett, MIN
2005-06 season: It's not his fault. I feel like I need to say this every time Garnett's name comes up, because he's immediately assailed for not doing enough to lift his pathetic teammates to victory....

2006-07
Projected PER
24.97
League Avg: +9.97
2005-06 PER: 26.88


7. Chris Paul, NOK
2005-06 season: Paul had a great rookie year, but I'm not sure people realize just how great it was. Let me crib from something I wrote previously: Paul had the best...

2006-07
Projected PER
24.96
League Avg: +9.96
2005-06 PER: 22.14


8. Pau Gasol, MEM
2005-06 season: Gasol opened the new campaign with a shaggy, patchy beard, sending countless reporters scurrying to the Internet to find the Spanish word for "wookie." It seemed to work for him...

2006-07
Projected PER
23.95
League Avg: +8.95
2005-06 PER: 22.76


9. Gilbert Arenas, WAS
2005-06 season: Arenas continued his development into one of the game's biggest stars, finishing fourth in the league in scoring and ranking second among point guards in PER. As with many of today's...

2006-07
Projected PER
23.78
League Avg: +8.78
2005-06 PER: 23.87


10. Allen Iverson, PHI
2005-06 season: Somebody forgot to tell this guy that short, fast guards are supposed to decline rapidly in their 30s. Iverson celebrated the big 3-oh by putting together the best season of his...

2006-07
Projected PER
23.31
League Avg: +8.31
2005-06 PER: 26.02


11. Shaquille O'Neal, MIA
2005-06 season: Shaq came to Miami with the idea of leading the Heat to the championship, and seemed a little taken aback that he was essentially an innocent bystander while Dwyane Wade rode to...

2006-07
Projected PER
23.29
League Avg: +8.29
2005-06 PER: 24.47


12. Tracy McGrady, HOU
2005-06 season: McGrady has battled back trouble his entire career, but last year was the first time he missed significant action because of it. McGrady lost 15 games early in the season with back...

2006-07
Projected PER
23.18
League Avg: +8.18
2005-06 PER: 22.02


13. Elton Brand, LAC
2005-06 season: Long one of the league's most unheralded stars, Brand came out of the shadows with a broad-based improvement that was the driving force behind the best Clippers season in memory....

2006-07
Projected PER
22.72
League Avg: +7.72
2005-06 PER: 26.67


14. Andrei Kirilenko, UTA
2005-06 season: By Kirilenko's recent standards, it was an off year. His scoring rate dipped, he made too many turnovers, and his insane rate of blocks and steals also dropped slightly from the...

2006-07
Projected PER
22.57
League Avg: +7.57
2005-06 PER: 20.71


15. Shawn Marion, PHO
2005-06 season: Marion led the Suns in points, blocks, rebounds, steals and minutes, and narrowly missed leading in field-goal percentage. He was by acclimation the team's best defender, on a club...

2006-07
Projected PER
22.35
League Avg: +7.35
2005-06 PER: 23.66
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  #2  
Old 10-17-2006, 05:33 PM
xorbie xorbie is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

i am surprised yao ming is not on this list.
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  #3  
Old 10-17-2006, 05:48 PM
THAY3R THAY3R is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

[ QUOTE ]
i am surprised yao ming is not on this list.

[/ QUOTE ]

He's 16th.
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  #4  
Old 10-17-2006, 05:55 PM
Green Kool Aid Green Kool Aid is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

kobe at #2 is a joke. KG and LBJ are a cut above everyone else right now IMO.

hollinger is by far the best basketball writer in the world right now, but his man-crush on chris paul is getting a little out of hand.
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  #5  
Old 10-17-2006, 06:03 PM
kidcolin kidcolin is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

I'll have to go read this article, but Amare at 5th is a big IF.
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  #6  
Old 10-17-2006, 06:13 PM
Green Kool Aid Green Kool Aid is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

Stat nerds...is PER the best rating for basketball players??

Seriously, any rating system that has Al Jefferson at number 32, and Dwight Howard at 53, needs to be revamped a lot.
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  #7  
Old 10-17-2006, 06:16 PM
Pudge714 Pudge714 is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

GKA,
I'm not sure how well PER projects.
As well it doesn't factor in defense.

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...age=0&vc=1
Also nice to know Hollinger agress with me.
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  #8  
Old 10-17-2006, 06:28 PM
THAY3R THAY3R is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

[ QUOTE ]
Stat nerds...is PER the best rating for basketball players??

Seriously, any rating system that has Al Jefferson at number 32, and Dwight Howard at 53, needs to be revamped a lot.

[/ QUOTE ]

As Pudge pointed out, and I forgot to :

PER is strictly offense.
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  #9  
Old 10-17-2006, 06:31 PM
Huskiez Huskiez is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

After reading the first part of this post, I had to look up, because I forgot, who won the MVP last year - Lebron or Kobe.
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  #10  
Old 10-17-2006, 06:32 PM
Pudge714 Pudge714 is offline
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Default Re: Hollinger NBA Player Projections

[ QUOTE ]
After reading the first part of this post, I had to look up, because I forgot, who won the MVP last year - Lebron or Kobe.

[/ QUOTE ]

I really hope this post is serious, although I doubt it is.
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