Good spot for a squeeze? (55K 3rd Hour)

ZBTHorton · #1 10-09-2006, 08:12 PM

We are late in the third hour of the 55K. For those of you who aren't familar, we are probably 15 minutes from the beginning of bubble play. Although I'm sure *some* players are tightening already. I haven't been at the table long, but have been pretty active. I haven't shown down any junk, and have been free-falling from suckouts the last two orbits.

UTG+1: Has been limping pre-flop ALOT. Maybe seeing 40%+ of flops. I haven't seen him show down a hand. Hasn't re-raised PF yet either. He limped earlier and I raised 5x from the blinds and he folded.
MP3: Pushed for 12bb's from UTG+1 with A6dd last orbit. I called with 88 and lost. Haven't seen him limp really, but I didn't like that push.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t1200 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG+1 (t28938)
MP1 (t67862)
MP2 (t32322)
MP3 (t18612)
Hero (t17673)
Button (t53617)
SB (t57853)
BB (t56879)
UTG (t53828)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t1200, 2 folds, MP3 calls t1200, Hero pushes?

nath · #2 10-09-2006, 08:20 PM

Looks fine if EP limp/folds regularly (e.g. you aren't called by 44)
I'm presuming the stacks behind won't call loose, either

Ansky · #3 10-09-2006, 08:48 PM

well this isn't a squeeze at all, but it sure sounds like a spew given your reads.

You're going apeshit w/ 15 bbs into 2 donks and 1 vs a guy u already abused his limp, and the other guy sounds like an over aggro gambler. Sounds like a pretty easy fold.

Jurollo · #4 10-09-2006, 08:51 PM

I dont like it. Against bad opponents you are opened up to a ton of hands that you are totally screwed against, A6 for instance, a hand that one of the villians has already showed the ability to play. Wait.
~Justin

Chesters Dad · #5 10-09-2006, 08:59 PM

I'd also be kind of worried about 3 three big stacks behind you --- curious if that would worry anyone else, or am I just too tight?

jonnyd · #6 10-10-2006, 02:20 AM

button, sb and bb are how tight?

Akshin · #7 10-10-2006, 05:14 AM

i think this play is -ev pretty bad push probablly 75 percent of the time you are getting called by a pair or a bigger ace or even a hand like kq suited with the guys you are playing with...

Mark Collins · #8 10-10-2006, 10:06 AM

WTF? Really bad play, hombre.

SilverLining1 · #9 10-10-2006, 10:57 AM

I think you get called down way to much by higher ace kickers and mid pairs to make this work. A8+; suited connectors 89+; connectors 109+; broadways KQ+; pockets 77+ (66 if your are feeling adventerous) seem to be a better range. A2 is just too dirty here.

old matt · #10 10-10-2006, 11:44 AM

i think it's pretty unanimously a poor move, especially as the short stack at the table.