World Series props

almostbusto · #1 10-08-2006, 04:18 PM

St Louis +750 (betwwts)
Padres +1815 (thegreek) [+1800 at betwwts]
mets +250 (betwwts)
oakland +275 (VIP)
detriot +257 (WSEX)

this sums to 100.23% meaning its very very near arbable. if anyone can find any better lines someone should post them to see if we can get it down to an arbable level. there is definitely value in some of these lines somewhere.

my thoughts are the value lies in st louis at +750, possibly padres at +1800, and oakland at +275. I think the EV is coming from fading the mets, who at +250 seem significantly -EV.

for the record i have only bet st louis for 500$ so far.

crockpot · #2 10-08-2006, 04:22 PM

i like the tigers and padres at these prices. i'm sure this shocks those of you who have followed my picks.

bills217 · #3 10-08-2006, 04:25 PM

Tigers +268 at Tradesports
Padres +1900 at Tradesports

almostbusto · #4 10-08-2006, 04:30 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Tigers +268 at Tradesports
Padres +1900 at Tradesports

[/ QUOTE ]that brings us down to 99.17% so you can get a .8% arb out of this if you want... very much not worth the hassle imo. i would just bet on the good lines

bills217 · #5 10-08-2006, 04:38 PM

The value there is in the Cards' line at betwwts...easily arbable w/ Tradesports, 100-cent scalp. I just maxed it out for $500.

TheRover · #6 10-08-2006, 04:44 PM

I just bet the Cards straight. They're about 5-1 most other places.