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#1
10-08-2006, 12:42 PM
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6 point teaser subsets
I like to analyze stuff and since I can't figure out how to handicap football I decided to check out some 6 point teaser numbers to see which subsets are working best. So far it looks like this as to 6 point teaser success:
week 1 59% week 2 62% week 3 64% week 4 78% (lines seem to be increasingly getting more acurate which is great for teaser players) Favorites 67% Dogs 62% Home 62% Home fav 57% Home dog 63% Away 70% Away fav 81% Away dog 61% So far the best subset (and smallest, beware insuffiecient data!) is away favorites. Today there are only 2 (KC and StL). All of my data was compliled from covers.com closing lines. 
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#2
10-13-2006, 05:29 PM
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Re: 6 point teaser subsets
Updated for week 5 results
week 1 59% week 2 62% week 3 64% week 4 78% week 5 75% Overall 67% Favorites 70% Dogs 65% Home 66% Home fav 65% Home dog 68% Away 67% Away fav 83% Away dog 61% Away favs is still the leading subset and favorites overall seem to have been doing well. Lots of away favs on the board this week so we'll see if this trend holds.
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