Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-05-2006, 12:41 PM
Kayber2 Kayber2 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Seattle
Posts: 183
Default Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

Hello all. I've been playing fulltime for about 17 months in everything from $30/60 online up to $50/100. I've also been playing $100/200 live as well.

I was averaging anywhere from $12-18k a month (1BB/100 in the $30) and feeling pretty good about how I quit my job.

Suddenly in July I broke even, July I lost $6k, and in September I lost $5k. I'm not concerned in the least about being down $12k since obviously I've occurred much larger downswings than that in these games and I understand variance is part of life.

What I am concerned about is the fact that it's been 3 months. I've had $35k losing streaks before but I was back out of the gutter within two months. This is the longest non winning streak of my life. I've been playing what I think is my absolute best.

So I humbly ask my fellow poker gurus if it's possible I'm just running bad? I've talked to a few other tough players who believe that's the case but I'd like to hear from a few others. What's the longest breakeven streak? What's normal?

thanks.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-05-2006, 12:53 PM
Keepitsimple Keepitsimple is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Göteborg
Posts: 3,368
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

over how many hands? Time doesnt tell anything.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-05-2006, 12:54 PM
Georgia Avenue Georgia Avenue is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Podcasting!
Posts: 12,925
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

I don't have time to do the math, but needless to say you are the best poker player of all time. Quit now before variance catches up.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:02 PM
recipro recipro is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 455
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

I had a losing streak that lasted 5 months, you might be in for a long one too. I've heard of winning players having losing streaks as long as 9 or even 10 months, but that is quite rare.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:02 PM
Scary_Tiger Scary_Tiger is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 8,590
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

[ QUOTE ]
I don't have time to do the math, but needless to say you are the best poker player of all time. Quit now before variance catches up.

[/ QUOTE ]

20k a month at 30/60 is very doable, I don't get what you're saying.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:18 PM
emil3000 emil3000 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Linköping, super poker city
Posts: 2,421
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't have time to do the math, but needless to say you are the best poker player of all time. Quit now before variance catches up.

[/ QUOTE ]

20k a month at 30/60 is very doable, I don't get what you're saying.

[/ QUOTE ]
Seems clear that he's saying that the OP is the best player of all time. "Of all time" seems a little exaggerated, but he clearly is the best of all players outside the big game plus Phil Hellmuth.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:18 PM
Eulysses Eulysses is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: BOOM HEADSHOT
Posts: 1,007
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't have time to do the math, but needless to say you are the best poker player of all time. Quit now before variance catches up.

[/ QUOTE ]

20k a month at 30/60 is very doable, I don't get what you're saying.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol donkaments
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:22 PM
otnemem otnemem is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Hobo Ken
Posts: 3,006
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't have time to do the math, but needless to say you are the best poker player of all time. Quit now before variance catches up.

[/ QUOTE ]

20k a month at 30/60 is very doable, I don't get what you're saying.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol donkaments

[/ QUOTE ]
Did you just say this to say this? What the hell does this have to do with the rest of the thread?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:23 PM
draw2aflush draw2aflush is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 365
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

I know some very good winning players that have had losing stretchs close to 100k hands.

Now live play, man that is a long time, but online that is less then 2 months for some.

Live play you can do the math, but figure 1 table obviously(duh)approxiamtely 35 hands an hour and playing 60 hours a week.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-05-2006, 01:23 PM
Georgia Avenue Georgia Avenue is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Podcasting!
Posts: 12,925
Default Re: Am I running bad or did I lose my ability?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't have time to do the math, but needless to say you are the best poker player of all time. Quit now before variance catches up.

[/ QUOTE ]

20k a month at 30/60 is very doable, I don't get what you're saying.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol donkaments

[/ QUOTE ]
Did you just say this to say this? What the hell does this have to do with the rest of the thread?

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you like some cake--- yes or no?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:07 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.