what's the perfect amount here?

[Josh.]

i had no stats on him because my pokertracker wasn't working but he was involved in a lot of pots and probably a bad lag type


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($603.50)
MP ($591)
CO ($437.54)
Hero ($856)
SB ($1578.50)
BB ($1938.91)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $3.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $6, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $30</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $24, MP calls $24.

Flop: ($93) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $6</font>, MP calls $6, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $90</font>, BB calls $84, MP folds.

Turn: ($279) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $85</font>,

we have $651 behind

[yvesaint]

299.99 he will be so confused cos no way u have 999

[fizzle]

250-300 would be good I imagine.

[Josh.]

just to start it off, he's 22% if he as a pair+flush draw, 25% if he has a gut plus flush draw (JT, QT, QJ), 18% if he has a naked flush draw, 20% if he has the nut flush draw (which i think is a very common hand for him to have).

and can we agree that he has a draw the vast majority of the time?

i think the best amount should leave an amount on the river that i can fold to (edit: if a flush hits), but one that will make it easy to get his money on the river if he has Axdd

[SonOfFrank]

His block bet indicates a flush draw so you want to price it incorrect for him to call.

[TheWorstPlayer]

ayceb

[DJ Sensei]

enough to make him draw to his AdXd, and then when it doesnt get there on the river, he might make a crying call cause the pots so big.

so $300.

[yvesaint]

actually why dont u just push wtf

[Kristijan]

Hi Josh,

I would push here because I think that A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], x[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] is such a significant portion of his range and will call regularly.

KD.

[philipsaurus]

275