My NFL power ratings

[Punker]

Based on my rating system which I devised loosely based on the Elo chess rating system. I "seeded" the rating pool by having all teams start 2005 with the same approximate rating, then running through all games of last year to get them their reasonably accurate starting ratings for 2006.

(having seen other posts, here's a bit better description of the factors the forumla takes into account: Win/Loss, point spread, opponent rating, and whether the game was on the road or not - ie, a road win is worth more points than a home win). I then factor in a small adjustment each week based on major injuries/players returning (eg, Seattle got the max downgrade due to Alexander, while Carolina got the max upgrade due to Smith).

1 Indianapolis
2 Denver
3 Chicago
4 Jacksonville
5 Seattle
6 San Diego
7 Minnesota
8 Pittsburgh
9 Baltimore
10 New England
11 NY Giants
12 Washington
13 Carolina
14 Cincinnati
15 Miami
16 Atlanta
17 NY Jets
18 St Louis
19 Arizona
20 Kansas City
21 New Orleans
22 Philadelphia
23 Tampa Bay
24 Buffalo
25 Dallas
26 San Francisco
27 Green Bay
28 Cleveland
29 Detroit
30 Oakland
31 Tennessee
32 Houston

[Wes Mantooth]

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...
2 Denver

14 Cincinnati

21 New Orleans


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BIMO

[highlife]

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2 Denver DOWN
8 Pittsburgh DOWN
11 NY Giants DOWN
12 Washington DOWN
14 Cincinnati UP (are you joking?!?!)
15 Miami DOWN (are you joking?!?!?)
21 New Orleans UP (3-0?!?!?!)
22 Philadelphia UP (are you joking?!?!?)
25 Dallas UP


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These are the worst rankings I have ever seen. I'll give you credit though, it took guts to post this.

[capone0]

Did you read the introduction. He based his ranking on LAST year and THIS YEAR. Read the whole description of his formula before you start bashing it.

[davelin]

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Did you read the introduction. He based his ranking on LAST year and THIS YEAR. Read the whole description of his formula before you start bashing it.

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He used last year to develop a starting point for this year, but these rankings (if I understand them correctly) are entirely for this year.

[kyro]

Miami at 15?

They're 1-2, against teams with a combined record (not counting games against Miami) of 0-6. The two losses were by double digits, and the one game they won, was by 3 points. Also, they've played 2 games at home. I'm not sure how any statistical ranking system could possibly have Miami any higher than 22ish.

[PokerFink]

I'm not going to sugercoat it, those are pretty terrible. Tweak your system, because the results it's spitting out in no way resemble reality. Cincy at #14 is just mind boggling.

If you want, PM me your system and I'll take a look if I can spot something.

[ClassicBob]

Why the hell do people keep posting their power rankings? 90% of them are uninteresting. So far, Pokerfink's are the only ones I have enjoyed.

[capone0]

Therefore this years rankings are based somewhat on last years rankings. That's the only rationale explanation for some of the picks. How is Philly so low and NO so long. Maybe it's because NO was the 2nd worst team in the league last year. Right now his rankings are very heavily influenced by last years results.

[livin_a_lie]

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2 Denver

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Don't listen to the haters, I like it! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]