2/4 NL - Hand Against Unknown- Turn two pair- What now?

SharpObject · #1 09-25-2006, 10:21 PM

Reads: I don't have any specific reads on villian his stats are 40/24/3 over small sample (70) If Villian is paying my image is not great, I've been losing at this table since he's been there.

Button ($216.98)
SB ($578.72)
BB ($113.45)
UTG ($1215.13)
Hero ($398)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
UTG raises to $16, Hero calls $16, 3 folds.

Flop: ($38) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $35, Hero calls $35.

Turn: ($108) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG bets $100, Hero....

Anders · #2 09-25-2006, 11:45 PM

I think this is a call. If you raise you're only getting action from hands you're in bad shape against, with very few exceptions. There are lots of river cards that will make you barf, and I don't think many of the hands that those cards help are folding to a raise here.

Kyle · #3 09-25-2006, 11:50 PM

raising turn is gross. I like a call here.

If river blanks and villian bets pot again w/o a read i am letting it go.

Anders · #4 09-25-2006, 11:55 PM

If villain pots on a blank river it puts hero all-in and I'm not convinced it's an easy fold. It's really close, I think.

Kyle · #5 09-25-2006, 11:58 PM

you think he is bluffing or has AK 33% of the time here?

Anders · #6 09-26-2006, 12:01 AM

AK or worse, yes. He is very aggressive and raises 24% preflop.

Kyle · #7 09-26-2006, 12:11 AM

sample size on that is 70 hands. Some 40/24 guys you can insta call here and some you have to fold. Depends on how often he will fire three barrels.

Without a read on guys postflop play I am going to take the conservative route and dump it. However I do believe it is close.

Ellsworth T · #8 09-26-2006, 02:20 AM

Fuq the conservative route, call any non-heart river.