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  #1  
Old 09-20-2006, 01:45 PM
thirddan thirddan is offline
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Default Player Loss Rates...

if this has been discussed before and someone has a link i would much appreciate it...

i was playing in a very good mid limit BM game recently with a player that had a VPIP of 100 and PFR somewhere around 20 or so...obviously this is a good player to have in the game, but im wondering just how good...a friend asked me what i thought my expectation was in this game, but i had a hard time coming up with a number/estimate...

for a player as described above, VPIP 100 PFR 20 who plays too aggressively and goes to far with his hands postflop, how much does this player lose per hour or /100 hands?

thanks...
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  #2  
Old 09-20-2006, 01:46 PM
krazyace5 krazyace5 is offline
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Default Re: Player Loss Rates...

I would think about moving if I were you...
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  #3  
Old 09-20-2006, 02:19 PM
Sponger. Sponger. is offline
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Default Re: Player Loss Rates...

[ QUOTE ]
I would think about moving if I were you...

[/ QUOTE ]

I believe Thirddan plays at commerce. So he might be talking about 40/80.
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  #4  
Old 09-20-2006, 02:20 PM
thirddan thirddan is offline
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Default Re: Player Loss Rates...

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I would think about moving if I were you...

[/ QUOTE ]

I believe Thirddan plays at commerce. So he might be talking about 40/80.

[/ QUOTE ]

sponger, i think he was talking about my location...but alas im too old for lmd...
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  #5  
Old 09-21-2006, 07:25 AM
Webster Webster is offline
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Default Re: Player Loss Rates...

I would say about 6BB/100 but he would flame out.

The WORST long term players are onln in the -2BB/100 range but short term you can be pretty horrific.
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  #6  
Old 09-21-2006, 03:25 PM
mike l. mike l. is offline
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Default Re: Player Loss Rates...

"for a player as described above, VPIP 100 PFR 20 who plays too aggressively and goes to far with his hands postflop, how much does this player lose per hour or /100 hands?"

depends a lot on how tough his opponents are. if youre talking about the 20 at commerce that game is soft so he could last a long time.
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  #7  
Old 09-21-2006, 04:21 PM
mrpotto mrpotto is offline
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Default Re: Player Loss Rates...

Played with such a guy last night on party NL $25. He played every hand, raised and called every raise no matter what. Sometimes he had good cards but most of time of course he didnt. He built his stack to $250 basically through sheer and dumb luck. He stacked me 2x and I was a huge fav both times I got it all in against him. 1) AA vs KJ after I 3 bet him and go all in preflop. 2) Pocket 10s vs j-3 he flops a set and then makes quad 3s. I kept reloading and his donkey luck started to run out. He left with $0. What a roller coaster ride it was. Here was his final hand:

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $39.76
UTG+1: $99.43
hero: $102.35
Button: $38.09
SB: $12
BB: $10.20

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is CO with
<font color="#cc0000">UTG raises to $0.5</font>, UTG+1 folds, hero calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: ($2, 4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $0.25</font>, hero calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Turn: ($2.75, 3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#cc0000">hero bets $2</font>, BB calls, <font color="#cc0000">UTG raises all-in $39.01</font>, hero calls, BB folds.

River: ($82.77, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $82.77)


Results:
Final pot: $82.77
<font color="#ffffff">hero shows Td Kd </font>
<font color="#ffffff">UTG doesn't show 5d Qd </font>
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