KTo, Missed Value?

kbfc · #1 09-19-2006, 07:02 PM

Button (40/20, not much of a postflop read other than 36% wtsd over 50 hands) raises.
Hero 3bets K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] from the SB.
BB folds. Button caps. Hero calls.

Flop is 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
Hero checks. Btn bets. Hero calls.

Turn is K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Hero checks. Btn bets. Hero calls.

River is Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Hero checks. Btn bets. Hero calls.

Looking at this hand with a friend after the fact, we felt like there might be merit to either donking or C/R'ing on either of the 2 big bet streets. Thoughts?

jjacky · #2 09-19-2006, 11:36 PM

yes, i'd usually C/R the turn. imo you are ahead very often and there are many weaker hands in his range that will probably call you down.

ILOVEPOKER929 · #3 09-19-2006, 11:39 PM

You and your friend figured it out, this turn should be checkraised.

kbfc · #4 09-20-2006, 06:30 PM

I did some pokerstoving and I'm finding it hard to give villian a reasonable range that I'm not at least a 60:40 favorite against.

At the time, I felt like I might be a slight favorite over his range, but it was more valuable to let him stay in the hand with hopeless cards while not getting played off the best hand and/or spewing against a strong hand. After doing the pokerstoving, it looks like a turn C/R is the best play.

Assuming I just call the turn, however, what do you think about a river C/R? There are a fair amount of his hands that the Q improves to good 2nd best hands, and I think they pay off almost always.