Calling all-in approaching the bubble

Hairball · #1 09-08-2006, 11:27 PM

It’s about half way through the first day of a two day live tournament. There are about 30 players to be eliminated before you cross the money bubble. You were moved to this table recently and don’t have any firm reads on either of the two principals. The blinds are at 800/1600 with a 200 ante and the table is eight-handed. You are in the big blind with 14,000 chips holding 99. An early position player with 20K chips raises to 4000. Action folds around to a middle position player who re-raises all-in for 35K chips. It folds around to you. What do you do?

mornelth · #2 09-08-2006, 11:35 PM

fold?...

EP player is not going away and 99 is only happy to see two big aces, otherwise you're about 10% to win...

skier_5 · #3 09-08-2006, 11:53 PM

fold. without the reraise I'm probably shoving though.

Hairball · #4 09-09-2006, 10:50 PM

Thanks for the input. This hand played out in event one of the Borgata Open earlier this week. I folded figuring my call would all but obligate the initial raiser and three handed I was looking at either a slight lead against two overs or a big dog to a larger pair.

The initial raiser called the all-in with a 7h8h and the pusher had AQo. The board brought an 8 and the inexplicable 78 won the hand. A few hands later I busted out when I called all-in with AKo against 66 and didn't improve. Made it to about 120 out of 1033.

gobboboy · #5 09-09-2006, 10:54 PM

Easy fold preflop. Probably a stop and go if the second guy doesn't push.

mornelth · #6 09-09-2006, 11:37 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Thanks for the input. This hand played out in event one of the Borgata Open earlier this week. I folded figuring my call would all but obligate the initial raiser and three handed I was looking at either a slight lead against two overs or a big dog to a larger pair.

The initial raiser called the all-in with a 7h8h and the pusher had AQo. The board brought an 8 and the inexplicable 78 won the hand. A few hands later I busted out when I called all-in with AKo against 66 and didn't improve. Made it to about 120 out of 1033.

[/ QUOTE ]

One of the most important things to learn is to NOT to be results-oriented.

On AVERAGE with that action to you your hand is a dead dog MORE OFTEN THAN NOT. The most profitable long-term play with that hand in that situation is to fold.